Eredivisie · 2023/24
2024-03-30 · 17:45
12.1943.3%
X3.4527.5%
23.2429.3%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Quick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
Sparta Rotterdam
LWLLDLLWDD
2W 3D 5L · 0.90 PPM
For Sittard
LLLLLDWLWD
2W 2D 6L · 0.80 PPM
Goals
1.30
Scored
0.60
1.90
Conceded
2.20
60%
Over 2.5
60%
60%
BTTS
30%
By half
1.20
1H goals
0.80
2.00
2H goals
2.00
100%
Goal in 2H
90%
Corners
5.60N=10
For
3.40N=10
5.40
Against
4.50
11.00
Total
7.90
Signals
Key historical patterns
moderateOver 2.5 goals
6/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.
very strongAt least one second-half goal
10/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.
moderateOver 8.5 corners
8/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.
Team history
Goals
N=10 N=10
1.30
Goals scored
0.60
1.90
Goals conceded
2.20
3.20
Total goals
2.80
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
Sparta Rotterdam attack
1.30goals per matchFor Sittard conceded2.20Matchup
For Sittard attack
0.60goals per matchSparta Rotterdam conceded1.90Timing
First & second half
N=10 N=10
0.40
1H goals scored
0.00
0.80
1H goals conceded
0.80
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
0.90
2H goals scored
0.60
1.10
2H goals conceded
1.40
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=10 N=10
5.60N=10
Corners for
3.40N=10
5.40
Corners against
4.50
11.00
Match total
7.90
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
1.20N=10
For
1.10N=10
2.90
Match total
2.40
Over 3.5
Fouls
9.80N=10
Committed
10.50N=10
18.80
Match total
20.60
Shots
15.60N=10
Shots
9.50N=10
6.20
On target
2.60
8%
Conversion
6%
Market history
Similar historical matches
high · Tier A
Comparable matches893
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home43.3%43.8%+0.5 pp
Draw27.5%29.1%+1.6 pp
Away29.3%27.1%-2.2 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.574.4%
Over 2.548.8%
Over 3.527.3%
BTTS55.0%
Historical average
1.49–1.15
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
1-114.4%
1-011.0%
2-19.3%
0-07.5%
2-07.2%
Comparable corner averages
5.52–4.42
Average total9.94
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=893.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.564.4%
Over 9.552.3%
Over 10.540.2%
Over 11.530.1%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches271
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitymoderate
Home FT34.3%28.9%–40.2% CI
Draw FT38.7%33.1%–44.7% CI
Away FT26.9%22.0%–32.5% CI
Remaining goals
1.32
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal75.3%
2+ goals38.7%
3+ goals13.7%
Who scores in 2H
Home54.6%
Away45.4%