Eredivisie · 2023/24
2024-03-17 · 15:45
13.3328.4%
X3.5826.4%
22.0945.2%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Sparta Rotterdam
WLWLLDLLWD
3W 2D 5L · 1.10 PPM
Ajax
LLLDWWWWLL
4W 1D 5L · 1.30 PPM

Goals

1.20
Scored
2.20
1.70
Conceded
2.60
50%
Over 2.5
90%
50%
BTTS
90%

By half

1.20
1H goals
1.80
1.70
2H goals
3.00
90%
Goal in 2H
100%

Corners

5.90N=10
For
6.00N=10
5.00
Against
4.80
10.90
Total
10.80
Signals

Key historical patterns

very strongAt least one second-half goal

9/10 home-side sample · 10/10 away-side sample.

strongOver 8.5 corners

7/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.20
Goals scored
2.20
1.70
Goals conceded
2.60
2.90
Total goals
4.80
90%9/10
Over 1.5
100%10/10
50%5/10
Over 2.5
90%9/10
30%3/10
Over 3.5
80%8/10
50%5/10
BTTS
90%9/10
Matchup

Sparta Rotterdam attack

1.20goals per match
Ajax conceded2.60
Matchup

Ajax attack

2.20goals per match
Sparta Rotterdam conceded1.70
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.40
1H goals scored
0.80
0.80
1H goals conceded
1.00
80%8/10
Over 0.5 1H
80%8/10
10%1/10
Leading at HT
30%3/10
0.80
2H goals scored
1.40
0.90
2H goals conceded
1.60
90%9/10
Over 0.5 2H
100%10/10
40%4/10
More goals in 2H
60%6/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
5.90N=10
Corners for
6.00N=10
5.00
Corners against
4.80
10.90
Match total
10.80
70%7/10
Over 8.5
80%8/10
50%5/10
Over 9.5
80%8/10
70%7/10
Team over 4.5
70%7/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.30N=10
For
1.10N=10
3.10
Match total
2.90
30%3/10
Over 3.5
20%2/10

Fouls

10.20N=10
Committed
9.00N=10
20.60
Match total
18.60

Shots

16.20N=10
Shots
16.70N=10
6.20
On target
7.10
7%
Conversion
13%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches199
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home28.4%28.6%+0.3 pp
Draw26.4%21.6%-4.8 pp
Away45.2%49.7%+4.5 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.581.9%
Over 2.563.3%
Over 3.538.2%
BTTS62.8%

Historical average

1.351.78

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-29.5%
2-18.5%
1-18.5%
0-17.0%
1-37.0%

Comparable corner averages

4.455.32
Average total9.77

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=199.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.562.3%
Over 9.551.8%
Over 10.541.7%
Over 11.529.1%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches52
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT23.1%13.7%–36.1% CI
Draw FT36.5%24.8%–50.1% CI
Away FT40.4%28.2%–53.9% CI

Remaining goals

1.77

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal78.8%
2+ goals57.7%
3+ goals28.8%

Who scores in 2H

Home50.0%
Away69.2%