Eredivisie · 2023/24
2024-03-17 · 15:45
13.3328.4%
X3.5826.4%
22.0945.2%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Quick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
Sparta Rotterdam
WLWLLDLLWD
3W 2D 5L · 1.10 PPM
Ajax
LLLDWWWWLL
4W 1D 5L · 1.30 PPM
Goals
1.20
Scored
2.20
1.70
Conceded
2.60
50%
Over 2.5
90%
50%
BTTS
90%
By half
1.20
1H goals
1.80
1.70
2H goals
3.00
90%
Goal in 2H
100%
Corners
5.90N=10
For
6.00N=10
5.00
Against
4.80
10.90
Total
10.80
Signals
Key historical patterns
very strongAt least one second-half goal
9/10 home-side sample · 10/10 away-side sample.
strongOver 8.5 corners
7/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.
Team history
Goals
N=10 N=10
1.20
Goals scored
2.20
1.70
Goals conceded
2.60
2.90
Total goals
4.80
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
Sparta Rotterdam attack
1.20goals per matchAjax conceded2.60Matchup
Ajax attack
2.20goals per matchSparta Rotterdam conceded1.70Timing
First & second half
N=10 N=10
0.40
1H goals scored
0.80
0.80
1H goals conceded
1.00
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
0.80
2H goals scored
1.40
0.90
2H goals conceded
1.60
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=10 N=10
5.90N=10
Corners for
6.00N=10
5.00
Corners against
4.80
10.90
Match total
10.80
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
1.30N=10
For
1.10N=10
3.10
Match total
2.90
Over 3.5
Fouls
10.20N=10
Committed
9.00N=10
20.60
Match total
18.60
Shots
16.20N=10
Shots
16.70N=10
6.20
On target
7.10
7%
Conversion
13%
Market history
Similar historical matches
low · Tier A
Comparable matches199
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home28.4%28.6%+0.3 pp
Draw26.4%21.6%-4.8 pp
Away45.2%49.7%+4.5 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.581.9%
Over 2.563.3%
Over 3.538.2%
BTTS62.8%
Historical average
1.35–1.78
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
1-29.5%
2-18.5%
1-18.5%
0-17.0%
1-37.0%
Comparable corner averages
4.45–5.32
Average total9.77
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=199.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.562.3%
Over 9.551.8%
Over 10.541.7%
Over 11.529.1%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches52
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT23.1%13.7%–36.1% CI
Draw FT36.5%24.8%–50.1% CI
Away FT40.4%28.2%–53.9% CI
Remaining goals
1.77
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal78.8%
2+ goals57.7%
3+ goals28.8%
Who scores in 2H
Home50.0%
Away69.2%