Eredivisie · 2023/24
2024-03-17 · 13:30
11.8950.1%
X3.6625.9%
23.9424.0%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Utrecht
LWDDDDDWWW
4W 5D 1L · 1.70 PPM
Nijmegen
LDDWWDDLDW
3W 5D 2L · 1.40 PPM

Goals

1.90
Scored
2.00
1.30
Conceded
2.00
40%
Over 2.5
80%
70%
BTTS
80%

By half

1.10
1H goals
1.80
2.10
2H goals
2.20
80%
Goal in 2H
80%

Corners

7.30N=10
For
3.90N=10
3.80
Against
7.30
11.10
Total
11.20
Signals

Key historical patterns

strongBoth teams scored

7/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

very strongAt least one second-half goal

8/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

strongOver 8.5 corners

9/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.90
Goals scored
2.00
1.30
Goals conceded
2.00
3.20
Total goals
4.00
90%9/10
Over 1.5
100%10/10
40%4/10
Over 2.5
80%8/10
40%4/10
Over 3.5
70%7/10
70%7/10
BTTS
80%8/10
Matchup

Utrecht attack

1.90goals per match
Nijmegen conceded2.00
Matchup

Nijmegen attack

2.00goals per match
Utrecht conceded1.30
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.60
1H goals scored
0.90
0.50
1H goals conceded
0.90
70%7/10
Over 0.5 1H
100%10/10
30%3/10
Leading at HT
40%4/10
1.30
2H goals scored
1.10
0.80
2H goals conceded
1.10
80%8/10
Over 0.5 2H
80%8/10
50%5/10
More goals in 2H
50%5/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
7.30N=10
Corners for
3.90N=10
3.80
Corners against
7.30
11.10
Match total
11.20
90%9/10
Over 8.5
70%7/10
80%8/10
Over 9.5
60%6/10
80%8/10
Team over 4.5
50%5/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.50N=10
For
1.70N=10
3.50
Match total
3.10
40%4/10
Over 3.5
50%5/10

Fouls

11.40N=10
Committed
10.00N=10
22.00
Match total
18.00

Shots

15.20N=10
Shots
11.80N=10
5.70
On target
5.50
13%
Conversion
17%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

medium · Tier A
Comparable matches424
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home50.1%52.1%+2.0 pp
Draw25.9%25.0%-0.9 pp
Away24.0%22.9%-1.2 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.577.8%
Over 2.553.1%
Over 3.530.9%
BTTS55.0%

Historical average

1.711.12

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-112.0%
1-010.4%
2-09.7%
2-18.7%
2-26.6%

Comparable corner averages

5.954.37
Average total10.32

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=424.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.568.9%
Over 9.556.6%
Over 10.546.2%
Over 11.534.0%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches109
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT40.4%31.6%–49.8% CI
Draw FT39.4%30.8%–48.8% CI
Away FT20.2%13.7%–28.7% CI

Remaining goals

1.43

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal78.9%
2+ goals45.0%
3+ goals15.6%

Who scores in 2H

Home64.2%
Away44.0%