Eredivisie · 2023/24
2024-03-17 · 13:30
15.9815.8%
X4.6820.1%
21.4764.1%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Heerenveen
LDWWWLDWLW
5W 2D 3L · 1.70 PPM
Feyenoord
WWLWWWWWWD
8W 1D 1L · 2.50 PPM

Goals

1.80
Scored
2.40
1.20
Conceded
0.80
70%
Over 2.5
70%
40%
BTTS
50%

By half

1.50
1H goals
1.50
1.50
2H goals
1.70
90%
Goal in 2H
90%

Corners

6.70N=10
For
4.70N=10
4.40
Against
3.60
11.10
Total
8.30
Signals

Key historical patterns

strongOver 2.5 goals

7/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

very strongAt least one second-half goal

9/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.80
Goals scored
2.40
1.20
Goals conceded
0.80
3.00
Total goals
3.20
100%10/10
Over 1.5
90%9/10
70%7/10
Over 2.5
70%7/10
20%2/10
Over 3.5
40%4/10
40%4/10
BTTS
50%5/10
Matchup

Heerenveen attack

1.80goals per match
Feyenoord conceded0.80
Matchup

Feyenoord attack

2.40goals per match
Heerenveen conceded1.20
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
1.00
1H goals scored
1.10
0.50
1H goals conceded
0.40
90%9/10
Over 0.5 1H
90%9/10
50%5/10
Leading at HT
50%5/10
0.80
2H goals scored
1.30
0.70
2H goals conceded
0.40
90%9/10
Over 0.5 2H
90%9/10
40%4/10
More goals in 2H
40%4/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
6.70N=10
Corners for
4.70N=10
4.40
Corners against
3.60
11.10
Match total
8.30
70%7/10
Over 8.5
40%4/10
60%6/10
Over 9.5
40%4/10
50%5/10
Team over 4.5
50%5/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.90N=10
For
1.40N=10
3.50
Match total
3.90
50%5/10
Over 3.5
50%5/10

Fouls

9.60N=10
Committed
10.30N=10
19.60
Match total
21.30

Shots

16.50N=10
Shots
15.00N=10
5.40
On target
6.60
11%
Conversion
16%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches59
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home15.8%18.6%+2.9 pp
Draw20.1%13.6%-6.6 pp
Away64.1%67.8%+3.7 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.581.4%
Over 2.564.4%
Over 3.540.7%
BTTS62.7%

Historical average

1.082.10

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-213.6%
0-110.2%
1-310.2%
2-38.5%
0-26.8%

Comparable corner averages

3.686.31
Average total9.98

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=59.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.567.8%
Over 9.550.8%
Over 10.542.4%
Over 11.527.1%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches24
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT20.8%9.2%–40.5% CI
Draw FT25.0%12.0%–44.9% CI
Away FT54.2%35.1%–72.1% CI

Remaining goals

1.29

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal79.2%
2+ goals29.2%
3+ goals16.7%

Who scores in 2H

Home33.3%
Away58.3%