Eredivisie · 2023/24
2024-03-17 · 11:15
111.008.6%
X6.0815.5%
21.2475.9%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Quick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
Volendam
DWWLLLLLLL
2W 1D 7L · 0.70 PPM
AZ Alkmaar
WWDLDLDDWD
3W 5D 2L · 1.40 PPM
Goals
1.00
Scored
1.30
2.80
Conceded
1.00
70%
Over 2.5
50%
50%
BTTS
70%
By half
1.10
1H goals
1.00
2.70
2H goals
1.30
90%
Goal in 2H
80%
Corners
5.50N=10
For
5.20N=10
5.10
Against
4.20
10.60
Total
9.40
Signals
Key historical patterns
very strongAt least one second-half goal
9/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.
strongOver 8.5 corners
8/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.
Team history
Goals
N=10 N=10
1.00
Goals scored
1.30
2.80
Goals conceded
1.00
3.80
Total goals
2.30
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
Volendam attack
1.00goals per matchAZ Alkmaar conceded1.00Matchup
AZ Alkmaar attack
1.30goals per matchVolendam conceded2.80Timing
First & second half
N=10 N=10
0.20
1H goals scored
0.60
0.90
1H goals conceded
0.40
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
0.80
2H goals scored
0.70
1.90
2H goals conceded
0.60
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=10 N=10
5.50N=10
Corners for
5.20N=10
5.10
Corners against
4.20
10.60
Match total
9.40
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
1.40N=10
For
1.70N=10
2.50
Match total
3.40
Over 3.5
Fouls
8.80N=10
Committed
10.20N=10
18.50
Match total
21.70
Shots
12.20N=10
Shots
12.60N=10
4.30
On target
3.90
8%
Conversion
10%
Market history
Similar historical matches
low · Tier A
Comparable matches57
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home8.6%5.3%-3.3 pp
Draw15.5%8.8%-6.7 pp
Away75.9%86.0%+10.0 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.584.2%
Over 2.566.7%
Over 3.542.1%
BTTS42.1%
Historical average
0.63–2.56
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
0-214.0%
0-312.3%
1-312.3%
1-210.5%
0-110.5%
Comparable corner averages
2.81–6.75
Average total9.56
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=57.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.557.9%
Over 9.542.1%
Over 10.533.3%
Over 11.524.6%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches12
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT16.7%4.7%–44.8% CI
Draw FT8.3%1.5%–35.4% CI
Away FT75.0%46.8%–91.1% CI
Remaining goals
1.67
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal91.7%
2+ goals41.7%
3+ goals25.0%
Who scores in 2H
Home33.3%
Away75.0%