Eredivisie · 2023/24
2024-03-16 · 20:00
12.2242.7%
X3.2729.0%
23.3428.4%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Vitesse
LDDLWDLLDL
1W 4D 5L · 0.70 PPM
Almere City
DWDWLLWLWD
4W 3D 3L · 1.50 PPM

Goals

0.70
Scored
1.00
1.30
Conceded
1.30
30%
Over 2.5
40%
50%
BTTS
40%

By half

1.10
1H goals
0.90
0.90
2H goals
1.40
70%
Goal in 2H
80%

Corners

6.50N=10
For
4.00N=10
6.00
Against
5.50
12.50
Total
9.50
Signals

Key historical patterns

strongAt least one second-half goal

7/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

strongOver 8.5 corners

8/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
0.70
Goals scored
1.00
1.30
Goals conceded
1.30
2.00
Total goals
2.30
80%8/10
Over 1.5
70%7/10
30%3/10
Over 2.5
40%4/10
10%1/10
Over 3.5
20%2/10
50%5/10
BTTS
40%4/10
Matchup

Vitesse attack

0.70goals per match
Almere City conceded1.30
Matchup

Almere City attack

1.00goals per match
Vitesse conceded1.30
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.40
1H goals scored
0.50
0.70
1H goals conceded
0.40
80%8/10
Over 0.5 1H
70%7/10
10%1/10
Leading at HT
40%4/10
0.30
2H goals scored
0.50
0.60
2H goals conceded
0.90
70%7/10
Over 0.5 2H
80%8/10
10%1/10
More goals in 2H
40%4/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
6.50N=10
Corners for
4.00N=10
6.00
Corners against
5.50
12.50
Match total
9.50
80%8/10
Over 8.5
70%7/10
80%8/10
Over 9.5
50%5/10
50%5/10
Team over 4.5
50%5/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.30N=10
For
2.60N=10
3.10
Match total
4.00
30%3/10
Over 3.5
60%6/10

Fouls

10.70N=10
Committed
14.40N=10
20.10
Match total
23.90

Shots

15.50N=10
Shots
11.70N=10
5.10
On target
3.40
5%
Conversion
9%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

high · Tier A
Comparable matches1,123
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home42.7%42.3%-0.4 pp
Draw29.0%29.4%+0.4 pp
Away28.4%28.3%-0.0 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.572.9%
Over 2.546.6%
Over 3.526.2%
BTTS54.0%

Historical average

1.421.15

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-114.3%
1-011.5%
2-19.9%
0-07.8%
0-17.7%

Comparable corner averages

5.374.46
Average total9.83

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=1,123.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.563.0%
Over 9.552.3%
Over 10.539.2%
Over 11.528.5%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches336
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitystrong
Home FT34.8%29.9%–40.1% CI
Draw FT38.4%33.4%–43.7% CI
Away FT26.8%22.3%–31.8% CI

Remaining goals

1.25

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal73.8%
2+ goals34.8%
3+ goals12.5%

Who scores in 2H

Home53.0%
Away42.9%