Eredivisie · 2023/24
2024-03-16 · 19:00
12.2542.0%
X3.4927.1%
23.0630.9%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Quick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
Excelsior
DWLDLDWDLL
2W 4D 4L · 1.00 PPM
Waalwijk
WLLWLDLLLL
2W 1D 7L · 0.70 PPM
Goals
1.30
Scored
0.60
1.70
Conceded
1.50
60%
Over 2.5
30%
70%
BTTS
30%
By half
0.80
1H goals
1.00
2.20
2H goals
1.10
80%
Goal in 2H
80%
Corners
3.60N=10
For
4.30N=10
6.00
Against
8.70
9.60
Total
13.00
Signals
Key historical patterns
very strongAt least one second-half goal
8/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.
moderateOver 8.5 corners
6/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.
Team history
Goals
N=10 N=10
1.30
Goals scored
0.60
1.70
Goals conceded
1.50
3.00
Total goals
2.10
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
Excelsior attack
1.30goals per matchWaalwijk conceded1.50Matchup
Waalwijk attack
0.60goals per matchExcelsior conceded1.70Timing
First & second half
N=10 N=10
0.40
1H goals scored
0.40
0.40
1H goals conceded
0.60
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
0.90
2H goals scored
0.20
1.30
2H goals conceded
0.90
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=10 N=10
3.60N=10
Corners for
4.30N=10
6.00
Corners against
8.70
9.60
Match total
13.00
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
1.20N=10
For
1.90N=10
2.70
Match total
2.70
Over 3.5
Fouls
7.40N=10
Committed
9.90N=10
16.30
Match total
19.00
Shots
13.30N=10
Shots
12.60N=10
4.80
On target
4.30
10%
Conversion
5%
Market history
Similar historical matches
high · Tier A
Comparable matches530
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home42.0%40.9%-1.1 pp
Draw27.1%28.5%+1.4 pp
Away30.9%30.6%-0.3 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.577.7%
Over 2.553.4%
Over 3.530.4%
BTTS57.4%
Historical average
1.47–1.25
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
1-112.5%
2-110.2%
1-08.5%
1-28.1%
2-08.1%
Comparable corner averages
5.43–4.45
Average total9.88
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=529.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.565.4%
Over 9.552.7%
Over 10.539.7%
Over 11.530.2%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches137
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT35.8%28.2%–44.1% CI
Draw FT40.9%33.0%–49.2% CI
Away FT23.4%17.1%–31.1% CI
Remaining goals
1.36
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal72.3%
2+ goals38.0%
3+ goals17.5%
Who scores in 2H
Home56.2%
Away41.6%