Eredivisie · 2023/24
2024-03-16 · 19:00
12.2542.0%
X3.4927.1%
23.0630.9%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Excelsior
DWLDLDWDLL
2W 4D 4L · 1.00 PPM
Waalwijk
WLLWLDLLLL
2W 1D 7L · 0.70 PPM

Goals

1.30
Scored
0.60
1.70
Conceded
1.50
60%
Over 2.5
30%
70%
BTTS
30%

By half

0.80
1H goals
1.00
2.20
2H goals
1.10
80%
Goal in 2H
80%

Corners

3.60N=10
For
4.30N=10
6.00
Against
8.70
9.60
Total
13.00
Signals

Key historical patterns

very strongAt least one second-half goal

8/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

moderateOver 8.5 corners

6/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.30
Goals scored
0.60
1.70
Goals conceded
1.50
3.00
Total goals
2.10
90%9/10
Over 1.5
60%6/10
60%6/10
Over 2.5
30%3/10
20%2/10
Over 3.5
10%1/10
70%7/10
BTTS
30%3/10
Matchup

Excelsior attack

1.30goals per match
Waalwijk conceded1.50
Matchup

Waalwijk attack

0.60goals per match
Excelsior conceded1.70
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.40
1H goals scored
0.40
0.40
1H goals conceded
0.60
40%4/10
Over 0.5 1H
60%6/10
20%2/10
Leading at HT
10%1/10
0.90
2H goals scored
0.20
1.30
2H goals conceded
0.90
80%8/10
Over 0.5 2H
80%8/10
70%7/10
More goals in 2H
50%5/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
3.60N=10
Corners for
4.30N=10
6.00
Corners against
8.70
9.60
Match total
13.00
60%6/10
Over 8.5
80%8/10
40%4/10
Over 9.5
80%8/10
30%3/10
Team over 4.5
40%4/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.20N=10
For
1.90N=10
2.70
Match total
2.70
30%3/10
Over 3.5
30%3/10

Fouls

7.40N=10
Committed
9.90N=10
16.30
Match total
19.00

Shots

13.30N=10
Shots
12.60N=10
4.80
On target
4.30
10%
Conversion
5%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

high · Tier A
Comparable matches530
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home42.0%40.9%-1.1 pp
Draw27.1%28.5%+1.4 pp
Away30.9%30.6%-0.3 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.577.7%
Over 2.553.4%
Over 3.530.4%
BTTS57.4%

Historical average

1.471.25

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-112.5%
2-110.2%
1-08.5%
1-28.1%
2-08.1%

Comparable corner averages

5.434.45
Average total9.88

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=529.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.565.4%
Over 9.552.7%
Over 10.539.7%
Over 11.530.2%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches137
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT35.8%28.2%–44.1% CI
Draw FT40.9%33.0%–49.2% CI
Away FT23.4%17.1%–31.1% CI

Remaining goals

1.36

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal72.3%
2+ goals38.0%
3+ goals17.5%

Who scores in 2H

Home56.2%
Away41.6%