Eredivisie · 2023/24
2024-03-16 · 17:45
11.7853.3%
X3.8124.9%
24.3521.8%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

For Sittard
WLDWWWLDLW
5W 2D 3L · 1.70 PPM
Zwolle
LWDLWDDWDL
3W 4D 3L · 1.30 PPM

Goals

2.00
Scored
1.80
1.50
Conceded
1.60
70%
Over 2.5
60%
60%
BTTS
60%

By half

1.60
1H goals
0.70
1.90
2H goals
2.70
90%
Goal in 2H
100%

Corners

6.80N=10
For
2.90N=10
4.50
Against
8.10
11.30
Total
11.00
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateOver 2.5 goals

7/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

moderateBoth teams scored

6/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

very strongAt least one second-half goal

9/10 home-side sample · 10/10 away-side sample.

strongOver 8.5 corners

8/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
2.00
Goals scored
1.80
1.50
Goals conceded
1.60
3.50
Total goals
3.40
80%8/10
Over 1.5
100%10/10
70%7/10
Over 2.5
60%6/10
50%5/10
Over 3.5
50%5/10
60%6/10
BTTS
60%6/10
Matchup

For Sittard attack

2.00goals per match
Zwolle conceded1.60
Matchup

Zwolle attack

1.80goals per match
For Sittard conceded1.50
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
1.10
1H goals scored
0.20
0.50
1H goals conceded
0.50
80%8/10
Over 0.5 1H
60%6/10
40%4/10
Leading at HT
20%2/10
0.90
2H goals scored
1.60
1.00
2H goals conceded
1.10
90%9/10
Over 0.5 2H
100%10/10
50%5/10
More goals in 2H
60%6/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
6.80N=10
Corners for
2.90N=10
4.50
Corners against
8.10
11.30
Match total
11.00
80%8/10
Over 8.5
70%7/10
60%6/10
Over 9.5
70%7/10
80%8/10
Team over 4.5
20%2/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.40N=10
For
1.80N=10
3.30
Match total
3.00
60%6/10
Over 3.5
50%5/10

Fouls

10.00N=10
Committed
9.10N=10
19.70
Match total
17.40

Shots

15.20N=10
Shots
10.90N=10
6.20
On target
4.50
13%
Conversion
17%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

medium · Tier A
Comparable matches386
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home53.3%55.2%+1.9 pp
Draw24.9%25.1%+0.2 pp
Away21.8%19.7%-2.1 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.578.0%
Over 2.552.6%
Over 3.528.8%
BTTS55.7%

Historical average

1.781.00

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-113.2%
2-111.4%
1-011.1%
2-09.3%
3-16.0%

Comparable corner averages

6.223.87
Average total10.09

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=386.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.566.8%
Over 9.552.6%
Over 10.540.9%
Over 11.531.1%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches105
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT44.8%35.6%–54.3% CI
Draw FT37.1%28.5%–46.7% CI
Away FT18.1%11.9%–26.5% CI

Remaining goals

1.50

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal79.0%
2+ goals46.7%
3+ goals18.1%

Who scores in 2H

Home64.8%
Away42.9%