Eredivisie · 2022/23
2023-05-28 · 13:30
11.7155.3%
X4.3521.7%
24.1223.0%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Quick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
Volendam
LWWDWWWLWW
7W 1D 2L · 2.20 PPM
Excelsior
LLLLLLLLDD
0W 2D 8L · 0.20 PPM
Goals
1.90
Scored
0.20
1.40
Conceded
2.40
70%
Over 2.5
50%
70%
BTTS
20%
By half
0.90
1H goals
1.30
2.40
2H goals
1.30
100%
Goal in 2H
60%
Corners
5.30N=10
For
2.80N=10
5.50
Against
6.80
10.80
Total
9.60
Signals
Key historical patterns
moderateAt least one second-half goal
10/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.
moderateOver 8.5 corners
7/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.
Team history
Goals
N=10 N=10
1.90
Goals scored
0.20
1.40
Goals conceded
2.40
3.30
Total goals
2.60
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
Volendam attack
1.90goals per matchExcelsior conceded2.40Matchup
Excelsior attack
0.20goals per matchVolendam conceded1.40Timing
First & second half
N=10 N=10
0.50
1H goals scored
0.10
0.40
1H goals conceded
1.20
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
1.40
2H goals scored
0.10
1.00
2H goals conceded
1.20
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=10 N=10
5.30N=10
Corners for
2.80N=10
5.50
Corners against
6.80
10.80
Match total
9.60
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
1.00N=10
For
2.10N=10
2.40
Match total
3.10
Over 3.5
Fouls
10.30N=10
Committed
11.30N=10
18.00
Match total
20.80
Shots
12.40N=10
Shots
7.10N=10
4.40
On target
2.20
15%
Conversion
3%
Market history
Similar historical matches
low · Tier A
Comparable matches22
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home55.3%45.5%-9.9 pp
Draw21.7%40.9%+19.2 pp
Away23.0%13.6%-9.3 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.577.3%
Over 2.563.6%
Over 3.540.9%
BTTS54.5%
Historical average
2.09–1.14
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
0-018.2%
3-39.1%
3-29.1%
1-19.1%
3-09.1%
Comparable corner averages
5.77–4.73
Average total10.50
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=22.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.563.6%
Over 9.554.5%
Over 10.545.5%
Over 11.531.8%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches16
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT25.0%10.2%–49.5% CI
Draw FT50.0%28.0%–72.0% CI
Away FT25.0%10.2%–49.5% CI
Remaining goals
1.38
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal68.8%
2+ goals50.0%
3+ goals18.8%
Who scores in 2H
Home43.8%
Away56.3%