Eredivisie · 2022/23
2023-05-28 · 13:30
12.0446.3%
X3.8924.3%
23.2129.4%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Heerenveen
WLWLLLLWLD
3W 1D 6L · 1.00 PPM
Go Ahead Eagles
WLLLDLWLLL
2W 1D 7L · 0.70 PPM

Goals

1.40
Scored
1.00
2.10
Conceded
2.10
80%
Over 2.5
70%
80%
BTTS
60%

By half

1.90
1H goals
1.60
1.60
2H goals
1.50
80%
Goal in 2H
90%

Corners

5.70N=10
For
4.90N=10
4.20
Against
4.60
9.90
Total
9.50
Signals

Key historical patterns

strongOver 2.5 goals

8/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

moderateBoth teams scored

8/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

very strongAt least one second-half goal

8/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.

moderateOver 8.5 corners

7/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.40
Goals scored
1.00
2.10
Goals conceded
2.10
3.50
Total goals
3.10
90%9/10
Over 1.5
100%10/10
80%8/10
Over 2.5
70%7/10
50%5/10
Over 3.5
30%3/10
80%8/10
BTTS
60%6/10
Matchup

Heerenveen attack

1.40goals per match
Go Ahead Eagles conceded2.10
Matchup

Go Ahead Eagles attack

1.00goals per match
Heerenveen conceded2.10
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.80
1H goals scored
0.60
1.10
1H goals conceded
1.00
90%9/10
Over 0.5 1H
90%9/10
30%3/10
Leading at HT
10%1/10
0.60
2H goals scored
0.40
1.00
2H goals conceded
1.10
80%8/10
Over 0.5 2H
90%9/10
20%2/10
More goals in 2H
20%2/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
5.70N=10
Corners for
4.90N=10
4.20
Corners against
4.60
9.90
Match total
9.50
70%7/10
Over 8.5
60%6/10
60%6/10
Over 9.5
50%5/10
80%8/10
Team over 4.5
30%3/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.30N=10
For
2.00N=10
2.90
Match total
3.60
40%4/10
Over 3.5
60%6/10

Fouls

9.00N=10
Committed
10.80N=10
20.80
Match total
21.80

Shots

15.00N=10
Shots
13.20N=10
4.80
On target
3.50
9%
Conversion
8%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches20
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home46.3%55.0%+8.7 pp
Draw24.3%0.0%-24.3 pp
Away29.4%45.0%+15.6 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.580.0%
Over 2.565.0%
Over 3.530.0%
BTTS45.0%

Historical average

1.601.55

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-020.0%
1-215.0%
2-010.0%
0-310.0%
0-45.0%

Comparable corner averages

5.304.30
Average total9.60

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=20.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.560.0%
Over 9.555.0%
Over 10.540.0%
Over 11.520.0%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches12
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT58.3%32.0%–80.7% CI
Draw FT33.3%13.8%–60.9% CI
Away FT8.3%1.5%–35.4% CI

Remaining goals

1.00

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal66.7%
2+ goals25.0%
3+ goals8.3%

Who scores in 2H

Home58.3%
Away8.3%