Eredivisie · 2022/23
2023-05-28 · 13:30
12.5537.1%
X3.7025.6%
22.5437.3%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Quick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
For Sittard
LLDWDLLWLW
3W 2D 5L · 1.10 PPM
Nijmegen
WDLLWLWDWL
4W 2D 4L · 1.40 PPM
Goals
1.10
Scored
0.80
1.60
Conceded
0.90
50%
Over 2.5
30%
30%
BTTS
10%
By half
1.00
1H goals
0.90
1.70
2H goals
0.80
80%
Goal in 2H
50%
Corners
3.90N=10
For
4.40N=10
7.20
Against
6.30
11.10
Total
10.70
Signals
Key historical patterns
strongOver 8.5 corners
8/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.
Team history
Goals
N=10 N=10
1.10
Goals scored
0.80
1.60
Goals conceded
0.90
2.70
Total goals
1.70
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
For Sittard attack
1.10goals per matchNijmegen conceded0.90Matchup
Nijmegen attack
0.80goals per matchFor Sittard conceded1.60Timing
First & second half
N=10 N=10
0.30
1H goals scored
0.50
0.70
1H goals conceded
0.40
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
0.80
2H goals scored
0.30
0.90
2H goals conceded
0.50
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=10 N=10
3.90N=10
Corners for
4.40N=10
7.20
Corners against
6.30
11.10
Match total
10.70
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
1.30N=10
For
1.80N=10
2.20
Match total
3.10
Over 3.5
Fouls
10.20N=10
Committed
10.60N=10
19.50
Match total
24.40
Shots
10.80N=10
Shots
11.60N=10
3.90
On target
4.20
10%
Conversion
7%
Market history
Similar historical matches
low · Tier A
Comparable matches59
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home37.1%50.8%+13.7 pp
Draw25.6%18.6%-6.9 pp
Away37.3%30.5%-6.8 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.586.4%
Over 2.571.2%
Over 3.550.8%
BTTS69.5%
Historical average
1.93–1.58
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
2-211.9%
2-111.9%
1-08.5%
3-18.5%
1-16.8%
Comparable corner averages
4.93–5.63
Average total10.56
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=59.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.564.4%
Over 9.555.9%
Over 10.544.1%
Over 11.539.0%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches12
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT50.0%25.4%–74.6% CI
Draw FT8.3%1.5%–35.4% CI
Away FT41.7%19.3%–68.0% CI
Remaining goals
1.67
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal100.0%
2+ goals41.7%
3+ goals16.7%
Who scores in 2H
Home66.7%
Away58.3%