Eredivisie · 2022/23
2023-05-28 · 13:30
12.6435.9%
X3.7625.2%
22.4339.0%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

AZ Alkmaar
DWDWWWDLWW
6W 3D 1L · 2.10 PPM
PSV Eindhoven
WDLDDWDWWW
5W 4D 1L · 1.90 PPM

Goals

2.60
Scored
1.80
1.10
Conceded
1.30
60%
Over 2.5
60%
60%
BTTS
70%

By half

2.40
1H goals
1.30
1.30
2H goals
1.80
70%
Goal in 2H
80%

Corners

7.00N=10
For
4.50N=10
2.50
Against
4.40
9.50
Total
8.90
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateOver 2.5 goals

6/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

moderateBoth teams scored

6/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

strongAt least one second-half goal

7/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
2.60
Goals scored
1.80
1.10
Goals conceded
1.30
3.70
Total goals
3.10
80%8/10
Over 1.5
70%7/10
60%6/10
Over 2.5
60%6/10
40%4/10
Over 3.5
50%5/10
60%6/10
BTTS
70%7/10
Matchup

AZ Alkmaar attack

2.60goals per match
PSV Eindhoven conceded1.30
Matchup

PSV Eindhoven attack

1.80goals per match
AZ Alkmaar conceded1.10
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
1.80
1H goals scored
1.00
0.60
1H goals conceded
0.30
90%9/10
Over 0.5 1H
90%9/10
60%6/10
Leading at HT
60%6/10
0.80
2H goals scored
0.80
0.50
2H goals conceded
1.00
70%7/10
Over 0.5 2H
80%8/10
30%3/10
More goals in 2H
50%5/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
7.00N=10
Corners for
4.50N=10
2.50
Corners against
4.40
9.50
Match total
8.90
50%5/10
Over 8.5
60%6/10
50%5/10
Over 9.5
60%6/10
80%8/10
Team over 4.5
50%5/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.30N=10
For
2.70N=10
2.40
Match total
4.10
30%3/10
Over 3.5
60%6/10

Fouls

9.40N=10
Committed
11.50N=10
17.70
Match total
20.70

Shots

16.70N=10
Shots
16.20N=10
6.20
On target
6.00
16%
Conversion
11%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches37
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home35.9%40.5%+4.7 pp
Draw25.2%24.3%-0.9 pp
Away39.0%35.1%-3.8 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.589.2%
Over 2.564.9%
Over 3.551.4%
BTTS62.2%

Historical average

1.861.62

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

2-010.8%
1-110.8%
2-28.1%
3-18.1%
2-48.1%

Comparable corner averages

5.084.76
Average total9.84

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=37.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.559.5%
Over 9.545.9%
Over 10.535.1%
Over 11.529.7%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches10
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT20.0%5.7%–51.0% CI
Draw FT20.0%5.7%–51.0% CI
Away FT60.0%31.3%–83.2% CI

Remaining goals

1.60

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal90.0%
2+ goals50.0%
3+ goals20.0%

Who scores in 2H

Home50.0%
Away70.0%