Eredivisie · 2022/23
2023-05-21 · 13:30
11.2377.3%
X6.6614.3%
211.248.5%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

PSV Eindhoven
LDWWWWWWWW
8W 1D 1L · 2.50 PPM
Heerenveen
WDLLWDWDLW
4W 3D 3L · 1.50 PPM

Goals

2.60
Scored
1.20
0.50
Conceded
1.40
60%
Over 2.5
40%
30%
BTTS
40%

By half

1.00
1H goals
1.00
2.10
2H goals
1.60
80%
Goal in 2H
80%

Corners

7.70N=10
For
4.20N=10
3.00
Against
5.40
10.70
Total
9.60
Signals

Key historical patterns

very strongAt least one second-half goal

8/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

moderateOver 8.5 corners

7/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
2.60
Goals scored
1.20
0.50
Goals conceded
1.40
3.10
Total goals
2.60
70%7/10
Over 1.5
70%7/10
60%6/10
Over 2.5
40%4/10
40%4/10
Over 3.5
30%3/10
30%3/10
BTTS
40%4/10
Matchup

PSV Eindhoven attack

2.60goals per match
Heerenveen conceded1.40
Matchup

Heerenveen attack

1.20goals per match
PSV Eindhoven conceded0.50
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.70
1H goals scored
0.60
0.30
1H goals conceded
0.40
80%8/10
Over 0.5 1H
60%6/10
50%5/10
Leading at HT
20%2/10
1.90
2H goals scored
0.60
0.20
2H goals conceded
1.00
80%8/10
Over 0.5 2H
80%8/10
60%6/10
More goals in 2H
60%6/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
7.70N=10
Corners for
4.20N=10
3.00
Corners against
5.40
10.70
Match total
9.60
70%7/10
Over 8.5
60%6/10
60%6/10
Over 9.5
50%5/10
80%8/10
Team over 4.5
40%4/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

0.70N=10
For
1.50N=10
2.70
Match total
2.70
50%5/10
Over 3.5
10%1/10

Fouls

8.70N=10
Committed
11.70N=10
18.30
Match total
21.50

Shots

18.80N=10
Shots
12.40N=10
7.20
On target
4.70
14%
Conversion
10%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches34
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home77.3%67.6%-9.6 pp
Draw14.3%8.8%-5.4 pp
Away8.5%23.5%+15.1 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.597.1%
Over 2.576.5%
Over 3.532.4%
BTTS67.6%

Historical average

2.441.15

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

2-123.5%
1-211.8%
3-08.8%
2-08.8%
1-15.9%

Comparable corner averages

6.413.50
Average total9.91

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=34.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.561.8%
Over 9.547.1%
Over 10.541.2%
Over 11.529.4%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches14
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT42.9%21.4%–67.4% CI
Draw FT35.7%16.3%–61.2% CI
Away FT21.4%7.6%–47.6% CI

Remaining goals

2.29

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal92.9%
2+ goals71.4%
3+ goals50.0%

Who scores in 2H

Home85.7%
Away64.3%