Eredivisie · 2022/23
2023-05-21 · 13:30
11.9448.8%
X3.8324.7%
23.5826.5%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Excelsior
WWLDLLWDWL
4W 2D 4L · 1.40 PPM
For Sittard
WLWWLWLLLL
4W 0D 6L · 1.20 PPM

Goals

1.10
Scored
1.20
1.50
Conceded
2.00
50%
Over 2.5
80%
40%
BTTS
70%

By half

1.20
1H goals
1.10
1.40
2H goals
2.10
80%
Goal in 2H
100%

Corners

5.90N=10
For
5.00N=10
5.50
Against
6.50
11.40
Total
11.50
Signals

Key historical patterns

very strongAt least one second-half goal

8/10 home-side sample · 10/10 away-side sample.

very strongOver 8.5 corners

8/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.10
Goals scored
1.20
1.50
Goals conceded
2.00
2.60
Total goals
3.20
70%7/10
Over 1.5
90%9/10
50%5/10
Over 2.5
80%8/10
30%3/10
Over 3.5
40%4/10
40%4/10
BTTS
70%7/10
Matchup

Excelsior attack

1.10goals per match
For Sittard conceded2.00
Matchup

For Sittard attack

1.20goals per match
Excelsior conceded1.50
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.70
1H goals scored
0.20
0.50
1H goals conceded
0.90
60%6/10
Over 0.5 1H
70%7/10
20%2/10
Leading at HT
0%0/10
0.40
2H goals scored
1.00
1.00
2H goals conceded
1.10
80%8/10
Over 0.5 2H
100%10/10
40%4/10
More goals in 2H
60%6/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
5.90N=10
Corners for
5.00N=10
5.50
Corners against
6.50
11.40
Match total
11.50
80%8/10
Over 8.5
80%8/10
80%8/10
Over 9.5
50%5/10
60%6/10
Team over 4.5
40%4/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.20N=10
For
1.70N=10
2.50
Match total
3.20
30%3/10
Over 3.5
50%5/10

Fouls

9.10N=10
Committed
6.90N=10
17.30
Match total
15.40

Shots

12.00N=10
Shots
11.50N=10
3.40
On target
3.60
9%
Conversion
10%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches122
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home48.8%45.1%-3.7 pp
Draw24.7%28.7%+4.0 pp
Away26.5%26.2%-0.2 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.577.0%
Over 2.550.0%
Over 3.532.0%
BTTS59.0%

Historical average

1.641.25

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-116.4%
1-012.3%
2-07.4%
1-27.4%
2-26.6%

Comparable corner averages

5.694.49
Average total10.18

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=122.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.571.3%
Over 9.557.4%
Over 10.541.0%
Over 11.530.3%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches37
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT51.4%35.9%–66.6% CI
Draw FT29.7%17.5%–45.8% CI
Away FT18.9%9.5%–34.2% CI

Remaining goals

1.38

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal83.8%
2+ goals35.1%
3+ goals13.5%

Who scores in 2H

Home70.3%
Away35.1%