Eredivisie · 2022/23
2023-05-21 · 13:30
11.2575.8%
X6.5114.6%
29.839.6%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Ajax
DDDWWWLWWD
5W 4D 1L · 1.90 PPM
Utrecht
WDLDLWDWLW
4W 3D 3L · 1.50 PPM

Goals

2.00
Scored
2.20
0.80
Conceded
1.70
60%
Over 2.5
80%
50%
BTTS
50%

By half

1.20
1H goals
1.70
1.60
2H goals
2.20
80%
Goal in 2H
100%

Corners

9.50N=10
For
5.10N=10
3.30
Against
3.20
12.80
Total
8.30
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateOver 2.5 goals

6/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

very strongAt least one second-half goal

8/10 home-side sample · 10/10 away-side sample.

moderateOver 8.5 corners

8/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
2.00
Goals scored
2.20
0.80
Goals conceded
1.70
2.80
Total goals
3.90
70%7/10
Over 1.5
100%10/10
60%6/10
Over 2.5
80%8/10
60%6/10
Over 3.5
50%5/10
50%5/10
BTTS
50%5/10
Matchup

Ajax attack

2.00goals per match
Utrecht conceded1.70
Matchup

Utrecht attack

2.20goals per match
Ajax conceded0.80
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.90
1H goals scored
0.90
0.30
1H goals conceded
0.80
60%6/10
Over 0.5 1H
80%8/10
40%4/10
Leading at HT
30%3/10
1.10
2H goals scored
1.30
0.50
2H goals conceded
0.90
80%8/10
Over 0.5 2H
100%10/10
30%3/10
More goals in 2H
50%5/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
9.50N=10
Corners for
5.10N=10
3.30
Corners against
3.20
12.80
Match total
8.30
80%8/10
Over 8.5
60%6/10
80%8/10
Over 9.5
40%4/10
90%9/10
Team over 4.5
70%7/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.10N=10
For
1.40N=10
3.20
Match total
2.80
40%4/10
Over 3.5
30%3/10

Fouls

10.40N=10
Committed
9.00N=10
21.60
Match total
17.40

Shots

21.70N=10
Shots
12.40N=10
7.00
On target
4.50
9%
Conversion
18%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches53
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home75.8%69.8%-6.0 pp
Draw14.6%20.8%+6.2 pp
Away9.6%9.4%-0.2 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.577.4%
Over 2.564.2%
Over 3.547.2%
BTTS49.1%

Historical average

2.400.81

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-013.2%
3-111.3%
3-09.4%
4-07.5%
1-17.5%

Comparable corner averages

7.003.17
Average total10.17

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=53.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.562.3%
Over 9.558.5%
Over 10.543.4%
Over 11.532.1%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches17
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT52.9%31.0%–73.8% CI
Draw FT35.3%17.3%–58.7% CI
Away FT11.8%3.3%–34.3% CI

Remaining goals

1.59

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal82.4%
2+ goals41.2%
3+ goals23.5%

Who scores in 2H

Home70.6%
Away41.2%