Eredivisie · 2022/23
2023-05-21 · 13:30
11.2575.8%
X6.5114.6%
29.839.6%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Quick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
Ajax
DDDWWWLWWD
5W 4D 1L · 1.90 PPM
Utrecht
WDLDLWDWLW
4W 3D 3L · 1.50 PPM
Goals
2.00
Scored
2.20
0.80
Conceded
1.70
60%
Over 2.5
80%
50%
BTTS
50%
By half
1.20
1H goals
1.70
1.60
2H goals
2.20
80%
Goal in 2H
100%
Corners
9.50N=10
For
5.10N=10
3.30
Against
3.20
12.80
Total
8.30
Signals
Key historical patterns
moderateOver 2.5 goals
6/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.
very strongAt least one second-half goal
8/10 home-side sample · 10/10 away-side sample.
moderateOver 8.5 corners
8/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.
Team history
Goals
N=10 N=10
2.00
Goals scored
2.20
0.80
Goals conceded
1.70
2.80
Total goals
3.90
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
Ajax attack
2.00goals per matchUtrecht conceded1.70Matchup
Utrecht attack
2.20goals per matchAjax conceded0.80Timing
First & second half
N=10 N=10
0.90
1H goals scored
0.90
0.30
1H goals conceded
0.80
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
1.10
2H goals scored
1.30
0.50
2H goals conceded
0.90
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=10 N=10
9.50N=10
Corners for
5.10N=10
3.30
Corners against
3.20
12.80
Match total
8.30
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
1.10N=10
For
1.40N=10
3.20
Match total
2.80
Over 3.5
Fouls
10.40N=10
Committed
9.00N=10
21.60
Match total
17.40
Shots
21.70N=10
Shots
12.40N=10
7.00
On target
4.50
9%
Conversion
18%
Market history
Similar historical matches
low · Tier A
Comparable matches53
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home75.8%69.8%-6.0 pp
Draw14.6%20.8%+6.2 pp
Away9.6%9.4%-0.2 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.577.4%
Over 2.564.2%
Over 3.547.2%
BTTS49.1%
Historical average
2.40–0.81
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
1-013.2%
3-111.3%
3-09.4%
4-07.5%
1-17.5%
Comparable corner averages
7.00–3.17
Average total10.17
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=53.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.562.3%
Over 9.558.5%
Over 10.543.4%
Over 11.532.1%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches17
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT52.9%31.0%–73.8% CI
Draw FT35.3%17.3%–58.7% CI
Away FT11.8%3.3%–34.3% CI
Remaining goals
1.59
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal82.4%
2+ goals41.2%
3+ goals23.5%
Who scores in 2H
Home70.6%
Away41.2%