Eredivisie · 2022/23
2023-05-14 · 13:30
111.598.2%
X6.3814.8%
21.2377.0%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Groningen
WLLLDDWLLL
2W 2D 6L · 0.80 PPM
Ajax
WDDDWWWWDL
5W 4D 1L · 1.90 PPM

Goals

1.20
Scored
2.40
1.60
Conceded
1.30
50%
Over 2.5
70%
50%
BTTS
70%

By half

1.50
1H goals
2.00
1.30
2H goals
1.70
80%
Goal in 2H
90%

Corners

4.50N=10
For
5.90N=10
5.70
Against
4.50
10.20
Total
10.40
Signals

Key historical patterns

very strongAt least one second-half goal

8/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.

very strongOver 8.5 corners

8/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.20
Goals scored
2.40
1.60
Goals conceded
1.30
2.80
Total goals
3.70
80%8/10
Over 1.5
90%9/10
50%5/10
Over 2.5
70%7/10
20%2/10
Over 3.5
50%5/10
50%5/10
BTTS
70%7/10
Matchup

Groningen attack

1.20goals per match
Ajax conceded1.30
Matchup

Ajax attack

2.40goals per match
Groningen conceded1.60
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.70
1H goals scored
1.30
0.80
1H goals conceded
0.70
80%8/10
Over 0.5 1H
90%9/10
30%3/10
Leading at HT
50%5/10
0.50
2H goals scored
1.10
0.80
2H goals conceded
0.60
80%8/10
Over 0.5 2H
90%9/10
40%4/10
More goals in 2H
30%3/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
4.50N=10
Corners for
5.90N=10
5.70
Corners against
4.50
10.20
Match total
10.40
80%8/10
Over 8.5
80%8/10
60%6/10
Over 9.5
70%7/10
40%4/10
Team over 4.5
80%8/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.20N=10
For
2.00N=10
2.20
Match total
3.90
30%3/10
Over 3.5
60%6/10

Fouls

10.50N=10
Committed
10.30N=10
19.80
Match total
22.70

Shots

13.50N=10
Shots
13.80N=10
3.60
On target
5.20
9%
Conversion
17%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches14
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home8.2%7.1%-1.0 pp
Draw14.8%14.3%-0.6 pp
Away77.0%78.6%+1.6 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.585.7%
Over 2.571.4%
Over 3.542.9%
BTTS57.1%

Historical average

0.862.50

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

0-114.3%
1-214.3%
0-37.1%
1-37.1%
2-27.1%

Comparable corner averages

3.577.00
Average total10.57

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=14.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.564.3%
Over 9.550.0%
Over 10.542.9%
Over 11.535.7%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches10
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT20.0%5.7%–51.0% CI
Draw FT20.0%5.7%–51.0% CI
Away FT60.0%31.3%–83.2% CI

Remaining goals

2.30

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal100.0%
2+ goals70.0%
3+ goals40.0%

Who scores in 2H

Home60.0%
Away80.0%