Eredivisie · 2022/23
2023-05-14 · 13:30
111.598.2%
X6.3814.8%
21.2377.0%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Quick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
Groningen
WLLLDDWLLL
2W 2D 6L · 0.80 PPM
Ajax
WDDDWWWWDL
5W 4D 1L · 1.90 PPM
Goals
1.20
Scored
2.40
1.60
Conceded
1.30
50%
Over 2.5
70%
50%
BTTS
70%
By half
1.50
1H goals
2.00
1.30
2H goals
1.70
80%
Goal in 2H
90%
Corners
4.50N=10
For
5.90N=10
5.70
Against
4.50
10.20
Total
10.40
Signals
Key historical patterns
very strongAt least one second-half goal
8/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.
very strongOver 8.5 corners
8/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.
Team history
Goals
N=10 N=10
1.20
Goals scored
2.40
1.60
Goals conceded
1.30
2.80
Total goals
3.70
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
Groningen attack
1.20goals per matchAjax conceded1.30Matchup
Ajax attack
2.40goals per matchGroningen conceded1.60Timing
First & second half
N=10 N=10
0.70
1H goals scored
1.30
0.80
1H goals conceded
0.70
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
0.50
2H goals scored
1.10
0.80
2H goals conceded
0.60
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=10 N=10
4.50N=10
Corners for
5.90N=10
5.70
Corners against
4.50
10.20
Match total
10.40
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
1.20N=10
For
2.00N=10
2.20
Match total
3.90
Over 3.5
Fouls
10.50N=10
Committed
10.30N=10
19.80
Match total
22.70
Shots
13.50N=10
Shots
13.80N=10
3.60
On target
5.20
9%
Conversion
17%
Market history
Similar historical matches
low · Tier A
Comparable matches14
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home8.2%7.1%-1.0 pp
Draw14.8%14.3%-0.6 pp
Away77.0%78.6%+1.6 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.585.7%
Over 2.571.4%
Over 3.542.9%
BTTS57.1%
Historical average
0.86–2.50
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
0-114.3%
1-214.3%
0-37.1%
1-37.1%
2-27.1%
Comparable corner averages
3.57–7.00
Average total10.57
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=14.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.564.3%
Over 9.550.0%
Over 10.542.9%
Over 11.535.7%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches10
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT20.0%5.7%–51.0% CI
Draw FT20.0%5.7%–51.0% CI
Away FT60.0%31.3%–83.2% CI
Remaining goals
2.30
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal100.0%
2+ goals70.0%
3+ goals40.0%
Who scores in 2H
Home60.0%
Away80.0%