Eredivisie · 2022/23
2023-05-13 · 19:00
11.5162.9%
X4.6220.5%
25.7216.6%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Heerenveen
LWLWLLLLWL
3W 0D 7L · 0.90 PPM
Excelsior
LLLLLLLLLD
0W 1D 9L · 0.10 PPM

Goals

1.50
Scored
0.30
2.30
Conceded
3.10
90%
Over 2.5
60%
90%
BTTS
30%

By half

2.10
1H goals
1.60
1.70
2H goals
1.80
90%
Goal in 2H
70%

Corners

5.60N=10
For
2.40N=10
3.80
Against
7.60
9.40
Total
10.00
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateOver 2.5 goals

9/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

strongAt least one second-half goal

9/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

moderateOver 8.5 corners

6/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.50
Goals scored
0.30
2.30
Goals conceded
3.10
3.80
Total goals
3.40
100%10/10
Over 1.5
70%7/10
90%9/10
Over 2.5
60%6/10
50%5/10
Over 3.5
50%5/10
90%9/10
BTTS
30%3/10
Matchup

Heerenveen attack

1.50goals per match
Excelsior conceded3.10
Matchup

Excelsior attack

0.30goals per match
Heerenveen conceded2.30
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.90
1H goals scored
0.10
1.20
1H goals conceded
1.50
100%10/10
Over 0.5 1H
70%7/10
30%3/10
Leading at HT
0%0/10
0.60
2H goals scored
0.20
1.10
2H goals conceded
1.60
90%9/10
Over 0.5 2H
70%7/10
20%2/10
More goals in 2H
50%5/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
5.60N=10
Corners for
2.40N=10
3.80
Corners against
7.60
9.40
Match total
10.00
60%6/10
Over 8.5
60%6/10
50%5/10
Over 9.5
40%4/10
70%7/10
Team over 4.5
10%1/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.20N=10
For
1.90N=10
3.00
Match total
2.60
40%4/10
Over 3.5
40%4/10

Fouls

8.80N=10
Committed
10.90N=10
20.40
Match total
19.90

Shots

15.60N=10
Shots
6.30N=10
5.40
On target
2.00
10%
Conversion
5%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches109
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home62.9%63.3%+0.4 pp
Draw20.5%19.3%-1.3 pp
Away16.6%17.4%+0.8 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.579.8%
Over 2.561.5%
Over 3.533.9%
BTTS56.9%

Historical average

2.080.94

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

2-115.6%
1-19.2%
1-09.2%
2-08.3%
3-18.3%

Comparable corner averages

6.334.19
Average total10.52

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=109.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.572.5%
Over 9.560.6%
Over 10.549.5%
Over 11.534.9%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches31
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT61.3%43.8%–76.3% CI
Draw FT22.6%11.4%–39.8% CI
Away FT16.1%7.1%–32.6% CI

Remaining goals

1.65

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal87.1%
2+ goals48.4%
3+ goals25.8%

Who scores in 2H

Home71.0%
Away45.2%