Eredivisie · 2022/23
2023-05-13 · 19:00
11.5162.9%
X4.6220.5%
25.7216.6%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Quick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
Heerenveen
LWLWLLLLWL
3W 0D 7L · 0.90 PPM
Excelsior
LLLLLLLLLD
0W 1D 9L · 0.10 PPM
Goals
1.50
Scored
0.30
2.30
Conceded
3.10
90%
Over 2.5
60%
90%
BTTS
30%
By half
2.10
1H goals
1.60
1.70
2H goals
1.80
90%
Goal in 2H
70%
Corners
5.60N=10
For
2.40N=10
3.80
Against
7.60
9.40
Total
10.00
Signals
Key historical patterns
moderateOver 2.5 goals
9/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.
strongAt least one second-half goal
9/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.
moderateOver 8.5 corners
6/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.
Team history
Goals
N=10 N=10
1.50
Goals scored
0.30
2.30
Goals conceded
3.10
3.80
Total goals
3.40
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
Heerenveen attack
1.50goals per matchExcelsior conceded3.10Matchup
Excelsior attack
0.30goals per matchHeerenveen conceded2.30Timing
First & second half
N=10 N=10
0.90
1H goals scored
0.10
1.20
1H goals conceded
1.50
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
0.60
2H goals scored
0.20
1.10
2H goals conceded
1.60
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=10 N=10
5.60N=10
Corners for
2.40N=10
3.80
Corners against
7.60
9.40
Match total
10.00
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
1.20N=10
For
1.90N=10
3.00
Match total
2.60
Over 3.5
Fouls
8.80N=10
Committed
10.90N=10
20.40
Match total
19.90
Shots
15.60N=10
Shots
6.30N=10
5.40
On target
2.00
10%
Conversion
5%
Market history
Similar historical matches
low · Tier A
Comparable matches109
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home62.9%63.3%+0.4 pp
Draw20.5%19.3%-1.3 pp
Away16.6%17.4%+0.8 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.579.8%
Over 2.561.5%
Over 3.533.9%
BTTS56.9%
Historical average
2.08–0.94
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
2-115.6%
1-19.2%
1-09.2%
2-08.3%
3-18.3%
Comparable corner averages
6.33–4.19
Average total10.52
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=109.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.572.5%
Over 9.560.6%
Over 10.549.5%
Over 11.534.9%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches31
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT61.3%43.8%–76.3% CI
Draw FT22.6%11.4%–39.8% CI
Away FT16.1%7.1%–32.6% CI
Remaining goals
1.65
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal87.1%
2+ goals48.4%
3+ goals25.8%
Who scores in 2H
Home71.0%
Away45.2%