Eredivisie · 2022/23
2023-05-07 · 15:45
13.3028.7%
X3.5626.6%
22.1244.7%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

For Sittard
DLLDWDLLWL
2W 3D 5L · 0.90 PPM
Vitesse
DDDLWDLLLW
2W 4D 4L · 1.00 PPM

Goals

0.90
Scored
1.50
1.60
Conceded
1.60
50%
Over 2.5
60%
30%
BTTS
70%

By half

1.00
1H goals
1.70
1.50
2H goals
1.40
70%
Goal in 2H
90%

Corners

4.20N=10
For
5.50N=10
6.90
Against
5.30
11.10
Total
10.80
Signals

Key historical patterns

strongAt least one second-half goal

7/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.

very strongOver 8.5 corners

8/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
0.90
Goals scored
1.50
1.60
Goals conceded
1.60
2.50
Total goals
3.10
70%7/10
Over 1.5
80%8/10
50%5/10
Over 2.5
60%6/10
30%3/10
Over 3.5
60%6/10
30%3/10
BTTS
70%7/10
Matchup

For Sittard attack

0.90goals per match
Vitesse conceded1.60
Matchup

Vitesse attack

1.50goals per match
For Sittard conceded1.60
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.30
1H goals scored
0.80
0.70
1H goals conceded
0.90
50%5/10
Over 0.5 1H
80%8/10
20%2/10
Leading at HT
30%3/10
0.60
2H goals scored
0.70
0.90
2H goals conceded
0.70
70%7/10
Over 0.5 2H
90%9/10
40%4/10
More goals in 2H
30%3/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
4.20N=10
Corners for
5.50N=10
6.90
Corners against
5.30
11.10
Match total
10.80
80%8/10
Over 8.5
80%8/10
80%8/10
Over 9.5
80%8/10
40%4/10
Team over 4.5
50%5/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.40N=10
For
1.90N=10
2.40
Match total
3.00
30%3/10
Over 3.5
30%3/10

Fouls

9.90N=10
Committed
11.50N=10
19.10
Match total
21.00

Shots

11.00N=10
Shots
14.90N=10
3.80
On target
5.20
8%
Conversion
10%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches229
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home28.7%27.1%-1.6 pp
Draw26.6%29.3%+2.6 pp
Away44.7%43.7%-1.0 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.582.5%
Over 2.555.9%
Over 3.532.3%
BTTS63.3%

Historical average

1.281.62

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-115.7%
1-29.6%
2-18.3%
0-08.3%
0-27.4%

Comparable corner averages

4.475.18
Average total9.65

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=229.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.562.0%
Over 9.553.3%
Over 10.541.0%
Over 11.527.5%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches62
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT12.9%6.7%–23.4% CI
Draw FT48.4%36.4%–60.6% CI
Away FT38.7%27.6%–51.2% CI

Remaining goals

1.53

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal69.4%
2+ goals53.2%
3+ goals22.6%

Who scores in 2H

Home41.9%
Away62.9%