Eredivisie · 2022/23
2023-05-07 · 13:30
111.528.2%
X7.0713.4%
21.2178.4%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Excelsior
LWWLDLLWDW
4W 2D 4L · 1.40 PPM
Feyenoord
WWDWDWWWWW
8W 2D 0L · 2.60 PPM

Goals

1.10
Scored
2.50
1.40
Conceded
0.90
50%
Over 2.5
70%
40%
BTTS
70%

By half

1.10
1H goals
1.90
1.40
2H goals
1.50
80%
Goal in 2H
90%

Corners

6.20N=10
For
6.40N=10
5.50
Against
4.20
11.70
Total
10.60
Signals

Key historical patterns

very strongAt least one second-half goal

8/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.

strongOver 8.5 corners

9/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.10
Goals scored
2.50
1.40
Goals conceded
0.90
2.50
Total goals
3.40
60%6/10
Over 1.5
100%10/10
50%5/10
Over 2.5
70%7/10
30%3/10
Over 3.5
40%4/10
40%4/10
BTTS
70%7/10
Matchup

Excelsior attack

1.10goals per match
Feyenoord conceded0.90
Matchup

Feyenoord attack

2.50goals per match
Excelsior conceded1.40
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.70
1H goals scored
1.40
0.40
1H goals conceded
0.50
50%5/10
Over 0.5 1H
100%10/10
20%2/10
Leading at HT
60%6/10
0.40
2H goals scored
1.10
1.00
2H goals conceded
0.40
80%8/10
Over 0.5 2H
90%9/10
50%5/10
More goals in 2H
10%1/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
6.20N=10
Corners for
6.40N=10
5.50
Corners against
4.20
11.70
Match total
10.60
90%9/10
Over 8.5
70%7/10
80%8/10
Over 9.5
70%7/10
70%7/10
Team over 4.5
70%7/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.20N=10
For
1.50N=10
2.60
Match total
3.10
30%3/10
Over 3.5
40%4/10

Fouls

9.00N=10
Committed
7.80N=10
17.10
Match total
17.40

Shots

12.20N=10
Shots
18.60N=10
3.10
On target
6.60
9%
Conversion
13%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches24
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home8.2%12.5%+4.3 pp
Draw13.4%8.3%-5.1 pp
Away78.4%79.2%+0.8 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.583.3%
Over 2.562.5%
Over 3.545.8%
BTTS41.7%

Historical average

0.793.04

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

0-216.7%
0-512.5%
0-112.5%
0-38.3%
2-18.3%

Comparable corner averages

2.718.04
Average total10.75

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=24.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.579.2%
Over 9.566.7%
Over 10.558.3%
Over 11.550.0%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches14
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT14.3%4.0%–39.9% CI
Draw FT35.7%16.3%–61.2% CI
Away FT50.0%26.8%–73.2% CI

Remaining goals

2.21

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal92.9%
2+ goals71.4%
3+ goals42.9%

Who scores in 2H

Home57.1%
Away78.6%