Eredivisie · 2022/23
2023-05-06 · 20:00
11.5660.9%
X4.4621.3%
25.3517.8%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Ajax
LDDDWWWLWW
5W 3D 2L · 1.80 PPM
AZ Alkmaar
LLWWWDLWLW
5W 1D 4L · 1.60 PPM

Goals

2.10
Scored
1.60
1.00
Conceded
1.10
70%
Over 2.5
60%
60%
BTTS
60%

By half

1.30
1H goals
1.40
1.80
2H goals
1.30
90%
Goal in 2H
80%

Corners

9.60N=10
For
5.50N=10
3.20
Against
3.90
12.80
Total
9.40
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateOver 2.5 goals

7/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

moderateBoth teams scored

6/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

very strongAt least one second-half goal

9/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
2.10
Goals scored
1.60
1.00
Goals conceded
1.10
3.10
Total goals
2.70
80%8/10
Over 1.5
80%8/10
70%7/10
Over 2.5
60%6/10
60%6/10
Over 3.5
20%2/10
60%6/10
BTTS
60%6/10
Matchup

Ajax attack

2.10goals per match
AZ Alkmaar conceded1.10
Matchup

AZ Alkmaar attack

1.60goals per match
Ajax conceded1.00
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.90
1H goals scored
0.80
0.40
1H goals conceded
0.60
70%7/10
Over 0.5 1H
90%9/10
40%4/10
Leading at HT
50%5/10
1.20
2H goals scored
0.80
0.60
2H goals conceded
0.50
90%9/10
Over 0.5 2H
80%8/10
40%4/10
More goals in 2H
20%2/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
9.60N=10
Corners for
5.50N=10
3.20
Corners against
3.90
12.80
Match total
9.40
80%8/10
Over 8.5
50%5/10
80%8/10
Over 9.5
50%5/10
90%9/10
Team over 4.5
70%7/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.20N=10
For
1.80N=10
3.40
Match total
2.80
50%5/10
Over 3.5
30%3/10

Fouls

10.50N=10
Committed
12.40N=10
22.10
Match total
22.00

Shots

21.30N=10
Shots
12.50N=10
7.20
On target
5.00
10%
Conversion
13%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches149
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home60.9%64.4%+3.5 pp
Draw21.3%14.8%-6.5 pp
Away17.8%20.8%+3.0 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.582.6%
Over 2.565.1%
Over 3.536.9%
BTTS55.7%

Historical average

2.131.03

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

2-112.8%
1-010.7%
2-08.1%
1-17.4%
3-07.4%

Comparable corner averages

6.204.06
Average total10.26

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=149.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.569.8%
Over 9.559.1%
Over 10.547.0%
Over 11.533.6%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches33
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT63.6%46.6%–77.8% CI
Draw FT21.2%10.7%–37.8% CI
Away FT15.2%6.7%–30.9% CI

Remaining goals

1.67

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal90.9%
2+ goals48.5%
3+ goals24.2%

Who scores in 2H

Home75.8%
Away42.4%