Eredivisie · 2022/23
2023-05-06 · 19:00
12.1544.1%
X3.5626.6%
23.2329.3%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Nijmegen
DWDWDDWDLL
3W 5D 2L · 1.40 PPM
Heerenveen
WWDLLWDWDL
4W 3D 3L · 1.50 PPM

Goals

2.20
Scored
1.20
1.70
Conceded
1.30
70%
Over 2.5
40%
80%
BTTS
40%

By half

1.50
1H goals
1.00
2.40
2H goals
1.50
90%
Goal in 2H
80%

Corners

6.40N=10
For
4.40N=10
4.80
Against
5.80
11.20
Total
10.20
Signals

Key historical patterns

very strongAt least one second-half goal

9/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

strongOver 8.5 corners

8/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
2.20
Goals scored
1.20
1.70
Goals conceded
1.30
3.90
Total goals
2.50
90%9/10
Over 1.5
70%7/10
70%7/10
Over 2.5
40%4/10
60%6/10
Over 3.5
30%3/10
80%8/10
BTTS
40%4/10
Matchup

Nijmegen attack

2.20goals per match
Heerenveen conceded1.30
Matchup

Heerenveen attack

1.20goals per match
Nijmegen conceded1.70
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.50
1H goals scored
0.60
1.00
1H goals conceded
0.40
70%7/10
Over 0.5 1H
60%6/10
20%2/10
Leading at HT
20%2/10
1.70
2H goals scored
0.60
0.70
2H goals conceded
0.90
90%9/10
Over 0.5 2H
80%8/10
50%5/10
More goals in 2H
50%5/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
6.40N=10
Corners for
4.40N=10
4.80
Corners against
5.80
11.20
Match total
10.20
80%8/10
Over 8.5
70%7/10
80%8/10
Over 9.5
60%6/10
60%6/10
Team over 4.5
50%5/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.40N=10
For
1.60N=10
3.80
Match total
3.00
60%6/10
Over 3.5
20%2/10

Fouls

9.50N=10
Committed
10.60N=10
25.60
Match total
19.70

Shots

17.10N=10
Shots
12.30N=10
5.50
On target
4.70
13%
Conversion
10%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

medium · Tier A
Comparable matches357
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home44.1%45.7%+1.6 pp
Draw26.6%32.8%+6.2 pp
Away29.3%21.6%-7.8 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.575.6%
Over 2.550.1%
Over 3.529.7%
BTTS55.5%

Historical average

1.591.10

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-115.1%
2-110.1%
1-010.1%
2-08.1%
0-07.8%

Comparable corner averages

5.464.24
Average total9.69

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=357.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.564.4%
Over 9.549.3%
Over 10.536.1%
Over 11.527.7%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches104
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT38.5%29.7%–48.1% CI
Draw FT43.3%34.2%–52.9% CI
Away FT18.3%12.0%–26.8% CI

Remaining goals

1.38

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal73.1%
2+ goals43.3%
3+ goals16.3%

Who scores in 2H

Home55.8%
Away44.2%