Eredivisie · 2022/23
2023-05-06 · 17:45
15.8316.3%
X4.4721.2%
21.5262.5%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Sparta Rotterdam
WWDWDWLWLW
6W 2D 2L · 2.00 PPM
PSV Eindhoven
LWDLDDWDWW
4W 4D 2L · 1.60 PPM

Goals

1.70
Scored
1.90
1.00
Conceded
1.70
60%
Over 2.5
70%
50%
BTTS
80%

By half

1.10
1H goals
1.70
1.60
2H goals
1.90
80%
Goal in 2H
80%

Corners

4.60N=10
For
5.40N=10
4.70
Against
4.40
9.30
Total
9.80
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateOver 2.5 goals

6/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

very strongAt least one second-half goal

8/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

strongOver 8.5 corners

7/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.70
Goals scored
1.90
1.00
Goals conceded
1.70
2.70
Total goals
3.60
80%8/10
Over 1.5
80%8/10
60%6/10
Over 2.5
70%7/10
40%4/10
Over 3.5
60%6/10
50%5/10
BTTS
80%8/10
Matchup

Sparta Rotterdam attack

1.70goals per match
PSV Eindhoven conceded1.70
Matchup

PSV Eindhoven attack

1.90goals per match
Sparta Rotterdam conceded1.00
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.80
1H goals scored
1.10
0.30
1H goals conceded
0.60
60%6/10
Over 0.5 1H
100%10/10
40%4/10
Leading at HT
60%6/10
0.90
2H goals scored
0.80
0.70
2H goals conceded
1.10
80%8/10
Over 0.5 2H
80%8/10
50%5/10
More goals in 2H
40%4/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
4.60N=10
Corners for
5.40N=10
4.70
Corners against
4.40
9.30
Match total
9.80
70%7/10
Over 8.5
70%7/10
60%6/10
Over 9.5
70%7/10
50%5/10
Team over 4.5
60%6/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.20N=10
For
2.60N=10
2.70
Match total
3.90
30%3/10
Over 3.5
60%6/10

Fouls

10.10N=10
Committed
10.50N=10
20.40
Match total
19.90

Shots

13.20N=10
Shots
16.90N=10
4.50
On target
6.60
13%
Conversion
11%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches99
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home16.3%22.2%+5.9 pp
Draw21.2%14.1%-7.1 pp
Away62.5%63.6%+1.2 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.581.8%
Over 2.562.6%
Over 3.535.4%
BTTS51.5%

Historical average

0.982.15

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-214.1%
0-210.1%
0-110.1%
2-17.1%
2-26.1%

Comparable corner averages

3.646.39
Average total10.03

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=99.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.566.7%
Over 9.550.5%
Over 10.538.4%
Over 11.530.3%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches23
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT26.1%12.5%–46.5% CI
Draw FT21.7%9.7%–41.9% CI
Away FT52.2%33.0%–70.8% CI

Remaining goals

1.52

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal87.0%
2+ goals52.2%
3+ goals13.0%

Who scores in 2H

Home47.8%
Away60.9%