Eredivisie · 2022/23
2023-04-23 · 19:00
11.3470.6%
X5.2318.1%
28.3511.3%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

AZ Alkmaar
LWDWDWWWDL
5W 3D 2L · 1.80 PPM
Waalwijk
DLLLDDLWLL
1W 3D 6L · 0.60 PPM

Goals

2.10
Scored
1.00
1.40
Conceded
2.30
60%
Over 2.5
70%
70%
BTTS
60%

By half

2.20
1H goals
1.20
1.30
2H goals
2.10
70%
Goal in 2H
70%

Corners

5.50N=10
For
2.60N=10
3.30
Against
7.40
8.80
Total
10.00
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateOver 2.5 goals

6/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

moderateBoth teams scored

7/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

strongAt least one second-half goal

7/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
2.10
Goals scored
1.00
1.40
Goals conceded
2.30
3.50
Total goals
3.30
80%8/10
Over 1.5
70%7/10
60%6/10
Over 2.5
70%7/10
40%4/10
Over 3.5
50%5/10
70%7/10
BTTS
60%6/10
Matchup

AZ Alkmaar attack

2.10goals per match
Waalwijk conceded2.30
Matchup

Waalwijk attack

1.00goals per match
AZ Alkmaar conceded1.40
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
1.50
1H goals scored
0.30
0.70
1H goals conceded
0.90
90%9/10
Over 0.5 1H
60%6/10
50%5/10
Leading at HT
10%1/10
0.60
2H goals scored
0.70
0.70
2H goals conceded
1.40
70%7/10
Over 0.5 2H
70%7/10
20%2/10
More goals in 2H
40%4/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
5.50N=10
Corners for
2.60N=10
3.30
Corners against
7.40
8.80
Match total
10.00
50%5/10
Over 8.5
80%8/10
50%5/10
Over 9.5
80%8/10
70%7/10
Team over 4.5
10%1/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.70N=10
For
1.40N=10
3.00
Match total
2.60
40%4/10
Over 3.5
30%3/10

Fouls

9.40N=10
Committed
10.90N=10
18.00
Match total
19.30

Shots

14.50N=10
Shots
8.80N=10
5.70
On target
3.10
14%
Conversion
11%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches147
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home70.6%70.7%+0.2 pp
Draw18.1%21.1%+3.0 pp
Away11.3%8.2%-3.2 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.586.4%
Over 2.563.9%
Over 3.537.4%
BTTS55.8%

Historical average

2.390.94

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

2-112.9%
2-012.2%
3-011.6%
1-18.8%
1-07.5%

Comparable corner averages

6.873.68
Average total10.55

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=147.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.569.4%
Over 9.555.1%
Over 10.549.7%
Over 11.538.8%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches33
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT60.6%43.7%–75.3% CI
Draw FT36.4%22.2%–53.4% CI
Away FT3.0%0.5%–15.3% CI

Remaining goals

1.61

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal78.8%
2+ goals57.6%
3+ goals18.2%

Who scores in 2H

Home75.8%
Away27.3%