Eredivisie · 2022/23
2023-04-23 · 19:00
11.3470.6%
X5.2318.1%
28.3511.3%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Quick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
AZ Alkmaar
LWDWDWWWDL
5W 3D 2L · 1.80 PPM
Waalwijk
DLLLDDLWLL
1W 3D 6L · 0.60 PPM
Goals
2.10
Scored
1.00
1.40
Conceded
2.30
60%
Over 2.5
70%
70%
BTTS
60%
By half
2.20
1H goals
1.20
1.30
2H goals
2.10
70%
Goal in 2H
70%
Corners
5.50N=10
For
2.60N=10
3.30
Against
7.40
8.80
Total
10.00
Signals
Key historical patterns
moderateOver 2.5 goals
6/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.
moderateBoth teams scored
7/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.
strongAt least one second-half goal
7/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.
Team history
Goals
N=10 N=10
2.10
Goals scored
1.00
1.40
Goals conceded
2.30
3.50
Total goals
3.30
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
AZ Alkmaar attack
2.10goals per matchWaalwijk conceded2.30Matchup
Waalwijk attack
1.00goals per matchAZ Alkmaar conceded1.40Timing
First & second half
N=10 N=10
1.50
1H goals scored
0.30
0.70
1H goals conceded
0.90
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
0.60
2H goals scored
0.70
0.70
2H goals conceded
1.40
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=10 N=10
5.50N=10
Corners for
2.60N=10
3.30
Corners against
7.40
8.80
Match total
10.00
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
1.70N=10
For
1.40N=10
3.00
Match total
2.60
Over 3.5
Fouls
9.40N=10
Committed
10.90N=10
18.00
Match total
19.30
Shots
14.50N=10
Shots
8.80N=10
5.70
On target
3.10
14%
Conversion
11%
Market history
Similar historical matches
low · Tier A
Comparable matches147
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home70.6%70.7%+0.2 pp
Draw18.1%21.1%+3.0 pp
Away11.3%8.2%-3.2 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.586.4%
Over 2.563.9%
Over 3.537.4%
BTTS55.8%
Historical average
2.39–0.94
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
2-112.9%
2-012.2%
3-011.6%
1-18.8%
1-07.5%
Comparable corner averages
6.87–3.68
Average total10.55
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=147.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.569.4%
Over 9.555.1%
Over 10.549.7%
Over 11.538.8%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches33
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT60.6%43.7%–75.3% CI
Draw FT36.4%22.2%–53.4% CI
Away FT3.0%0.5%–15.3% CI
Remaining goals
1.61
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal78.8%
2+ goals57.6%
3+ goals18.2%
Who scores in 2H
Home75.8%
Away27.3%