Eredivisie · 2022/23
2023-04-23 · 13:30
12.3440.5%
X3.6426.0%
22.8333.5%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

PSV Eindhoven
WWLDWWWWWW
8W 1D 1L · 2.50 PPM
Ajax
WWDDDWWWWD
6W 4D 0L · 2.20 PPM

Goals

3.00
Scored
2.80
0.50
Conceded
1.20
60%
Over 2.5
70%
30%
BTTS
80%

By half

1.20
1H goals
2.10
2.30
2H goals
1.90
80%
Goal in 2H
90%

Corners

6.80N=10
For
6.00N=10
3.10
Against
4.30
9.90
Total
10.30
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateOver 2.5 goals

6/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

very strongAt least one second-half goal

8/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.

moderateOver 8.5 corners

6/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
3.00
Goals scored
2.80
0.50
Goals conceded
1.20
3.50
Total goals
4.00
70%7/10
Over 1.5
90%9/10
60%6/10
Over 2.5
70%7/10
50%5/10
Over 3.5
60%6/10
30%3/10
BTTS
80%8/10
Matchup

PSV Eindhoven attack

3.00goals per match
Ajax conceded1.20
Matchup

Ajax attack

2.80goals per match
PSV Eindhoven conceded0.50
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.90
1H goals scored
1.50
0.30
1H goals conceded
0.60
80%8/10
Over 0.5 1H
90%9/10
60%6/10
Leading at HT
60%6/10
2.10
2H goals scored
1.30
0.20
2H goals conceded
0.60
80%8/10
Over 0.5 2H
90%9/10
60%6/10
More goals in 2H
30%3/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
6.80N=10
Corners for
6.00N=10
3.10
Corners against
4.30
9.90
Match total
10.30
60%6/10
Over 8.5
80%8/10
40%4/10
Over 9.5
60%6/10
80%8/10
Team over 4.5
80%8/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

0.50N=10
For
2.00N=10
2.40
Match total
4.00
30%3/10
Over 3.5
60%6/10

Fouls

8.10N=10
Committed
10.40N=10
17.50
Match total
22.30

Shots

18.00N=10
Shots
14.90N=10
7.70
On target
5.90
17%
Conversion
19%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches91
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home40.5%33.0%-7.5 pp
Draw26.0%33.0%+6.9 pp
Away33.5%34.1%+0.6 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.578.0%
Over 2.557.1%
Over 3.533.0%
BTTS59.3%

Historical average

1.381.40

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

0-012.1%
1-112.1%
1-211.0%
1-09.9%
2-28.8%

Comparable corner averages

5.355.07
Average total10.42

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=91.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.572.5%
Over 9.561.5%
Over 10.544.0%
Over 11.535.2%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches27
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT37.0%21.5%–55.8% CI
Draw FT55.6%37.3%–72.4% CI
Away FT7.4%2.1%–23.4% CI

Remaining goals

1.07

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal59.3%
2+ goals37.0%
3+ goals11.1%

Who scores in 2H

Home55.6%
Away25.9%