Eredivisie · 2022/23
2023-04-22 · 20:00
11.4565.4%
X4.6320.5%
26.6914.2%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Vitesse
LWLDDWLLDW
3W 3D 4L · 1.20 PPM
Excelsior
DLLLLLLLLL
0W 1D 9L · 0.10 PPM

Goals

1.10
Scored
0.40
1.30
Conceded
3.20
50%
Over 2.5
60%
50%
BTTS
40%

By half

1.10
1H goals
1.60
1.30
2H goals
2.00
80%
Goal in 2H
80%

Corners

5.90N=10
For
2.50N=10
4.50
Against
6.70
10.40
Total
9.20
Signals

Key historical patterns

very strongAt least one second-half goal

8/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

moderateOver 8.5 corners

7/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.10
Goals scored
0.40
1.30
Goals conceded
3.20
2.40
Total goals
3.60
80%8/10
Over 1.5
80%8/10
50%5/10
Over 2.5
60%6/10
20%2/10
Over 3.5
50%5/10
50%5/10
BTTS
40%4/10
Matchup

Vitesse attack

1.10goals per match
Excelsior conceded3.20
Matchup

Excelsior attack

0.40goals per match
Vitesse conceded1.30
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.60
1H goals scored
0.10
0.50
1H goals conceded
1.50
70%7/10
Over 0.5 1H
70%7/10
20%2/10
Leading at HT
0%0/10
0.50
2H goals scored
0.30
0.80
2H goals conceded
1.70
80%8/10
Over 0.5 2H
80%8/10
20%2/10
More goals in 2H
60%6/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
5.90N=10
Corners for
2.50N=10
4.50
Corners against
6.70
10.40
Match total
9.20
70%7/10
Over 8.5
60%6/10
70%7/10
Over 9.5
40%4/10
70%7/10
Team over 4.5
10%1/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.10N=10
For
2.10N=10
2.40
Match total
2.80
20%2/10
Over 3.5
50%5/10

Fouls

11.50N=10
Committed
11.30N=10
22.70
Match total
20.60

Shots

14.50N=10
Shots
6.60N=10
4.40
On target
2.40
8%
Conversion
6%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches165
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home65.4%69.1%+3.7 pp
Draw20.5%22.4%+2.0 pp
Away14.2%8.5%-5.7 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.584.2%
Over 2.566.1%
Over 3.540.6%
BTTS54.5%

Historical average

2.390.83

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

2-113.3%
3-19.7%
3-09.1%
0-07.9%
1-17.9%

Comparable corner averages

6.393.49
Average total9.88

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=165.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.560.0%
Over 9.551.5%
Over 10.541.2%
Over 11.529.7%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches46
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT50.0%36.1%–63.9% CI
Draw FT41.3%28.3%–55.7% CI
Away FT8.7%3.4%–20.3% CI

Remaining goals

1.57

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal71.7%
2+ goals50.0%
3+ goals23.9%

Who scores in 2H

Home63.0%
Away34.8%