Eredivisie · 2022/23
2023-04-16 · 19:00
11.1284.8%
X9.2110.3%
219.204.9%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Ajax
WLDDDWWWLW
5W 3D 2L · 1.80 PPM
FC Emmen
LLLWLLLDLW
2W 1D 7L · 0.70 PPM

Goals

2.50
Scored
0.80
1.00
Conceded
1.90
70%
Over 2.5
50%
60%
BTTS
60%

By half

1.40
1H goals
1.20
2.10
2H goals
1.50
90%
Goal in 2H
80%

Corners

9.60N=10
For
3.70N=10
2.90
Against
6.30
12.50
Total
10.00
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateBoth teams scored

6/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

very strongAt least one second-half goal

9/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

moderateOver 8.5 corners

8/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
2.50
Goals scored
0.80
1.00
Goals conceded
1.90
3.50
Total goals
2.70
80%8/10
Over 1.5
90%9/10
70%7/10
Over 2.5
50%5/10
60%6/10
Over 3.5
30%3/10
60%6/10
BTTS
60%6/10
Matchup

Ajax attack

2.50goals per match
FC Emmen conceded1.90
Matchup

FC Emmen attack

0.80goals per match
Ajax conceded1.00
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
1.00
1H goals scored
0.20
0.40
1H goals conceded
1.00
70%7/10
Over 0.5 1H
70%7/10
40%4/10
Leading at HT
0%0/10
1.50
2H goals scored
0.60
0.60
2H goals conceded
0.90
90%9/10
Over 0.5 2H
80%8/10
50%5/10
More goals in 2H
40%4/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
9.60N=10
Corners for
3.70N=10
2.90
Corners against
6.30
12.50
Match total
10.00
80%8/10
Over 8.5
60%6/10
80%8/10
Over 9.5
50%5/10
90%9/10
Team over 4.5
40%4/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.00N=10
For
1.90N=10
3.10
Match total
3.80
50%5/10
Over 3.5
50%5/10

Fouls

10.00N=10
Committed
11.30N=10
22.10
Match total
23.40

Shots

21.60N=10
Shots
11.60N=10
8.20
On target
3.90
12%
Conversion
7%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches45
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home84.8%91.1%+6.4 pp
Draw10.3%4.4%-5.9 pp
Away4.9%4.4%-0.5 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.597.8%
Over 2.582.2%
Over 3.553.3%
BTTS55.6%

Historical average

3.200.76

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

3-113.3%
2-013.3%
2-113.3%
3-011.1%
5-08.9%

Comparable corner averages

8.332.53
Average total10.87

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=45.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.571.1%
Over 9.564.4%
Over 10.557.8%
Over 11.542.2%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches11
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT100.0%74.1%–100.0% CI
Draw FT0.0%0.0%–25.9% CI
Away FT0.0%0.0%–25.9% CI

Remaining goals

2.91

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal100.0%
2+ goals90.9%
3+ goals54.5%

Who scores in 2H

Home100.0%
Away36.4%