Eredivisie · 2022/23
2023-04-16 · 11:15
12.1843.5%
X3.3828.0%
23.3328.5%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Nijmegen
DDWDWDDWDL
3W 6D 1L · 1.50 PPM
Vitesse
WDDDLWDLLL
2W 4D 4L · 1.00 PPM

Goals

2.20
Scored
1.40
1.40
Conceded
1.50
60%
Over 2.5
60%
80%
BTTS
60%

By half

1.30
1H goals
1.60
2.30
2H goals
1.30
90%
Goal in 2H
90%

Corners

6.50N=10
For
5.60N=10
4.60
Against
5.00
11.10
Total
10.60
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateOver 2.5 goals

6/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

moderateBoth teams scored

8/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

very strongAt least one second-half goal

9/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.

very strongOver 8.5 corners

8/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
2.20
Goals scored
1.40
1.40
Goals conceded
1.50
3.60
Total goals
2.90
90%9/10
Over 1.5
80%8/10
60%6/10
Over 2.5
60%6/10
50%5/10
Over 3.5
50%5/10
80%8/10
BTTS
60%6/10
Matchup

Nijmegen attack

2.20goals per match
Vitesse conceded1.50
Matchup

Vitesse attack

1.40goals per match
Nijmegen conceded1.40
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.50
1H goals scored
0.70
0.80
1H goals conceded
0.90
60%6/10
Over 0.5 1H
80%8/10
20%2/10
Leading at HT
30%3/10
1.70
2H goals scored
0.70
0.60
2H goals conceded
0.60
90%9/10
Over 0.5 2H
90%9/10
50%5/10
More goals in 2H
30%3/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
6.50N=10
Corners for
5.60N=10
4.60
Corners against
5.00
11.10
Match total
10.60
80%8/10
Over 8.5
80%8/10
80%8/10
Over 9.5
80%8/10
60%6/10
Team over 4.5
50%5/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.30N=10
For
1.70N=10
3.70
Match total
2.50
60%6/10
Over 3.5
20%2/10

Fouls

9.30N=10
Committed
10.40N=10
24.90
Match total
19.90

Shots

17.30N=10
Shots
15.40N=10
5.80
On target
5.40
13%
Conversion
9%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

high · Tier A
Comparable matches604
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home43.5%44.0%+0.6 pp
Draw28.0%30.3%+2.3 pp
Away28.5%25.7%-2.8 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.574.7%
Over 2.549.8%
Over 3.530.0%
BTTS54.0%

Historical average

1.561.13

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-113.7%
1-010.4%
0-08.1%
2-18.1%
2-07.1%

Comparable corner averages

5.614.28
Average total9.89

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=603.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.564.5%
Over 9.553.6%
Over 10.540.1%
Over 11.528.7%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches184
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitymoderate
Home FT34.8%28.3%–41.9% CI
Draw FT40.2%33.4%–47.4% CI
Away FT25.0%19.3%–31.7% CI

Remaining goals

1.32

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal73.4%
2+ goals36.4%
3+ goals14.7%

Who scores in 2H

Home53.8%
Away43.5%