Eredivisie · 2022/23
2023-04-09 · 15:45
11.1284.5%
X9.4010.1%
217.405.4%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Ajax
DWLDDDWWWL
4W 4D 2L · 1.60 PPM
For Sittard
WDLWLWWLWL
5W 1D 4L · 1.60 PPM

Goals

2.20
Scored
1.50
1.10
Conceded
1.70
60%
Over 2.5
80%
70%
BTTS
90%

By half

1.30
1H goals
1.10
2.00
2H goals
2.10
90%
Goal in 2H
100%

Corners

8.60N=10
For
4.70N=10
2.50
Against
5.40
11.10
Total
10.10
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateOver 2.5 goals

6/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

strongBoth teams scored

7/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.

very strongAt least one second-half goal

9/10 home-side sample · 10/10 away-side sample.

strongOver 8.5 corners

7/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
2.20
Goals scored
1.50
1.10
Goals conceded
1.70
3.30
Total goals
3.20
80%8/10
Over 1.5
90%9/10
60%6/10
Over 2.5
80%8/10
50%5/10
Over 3.5
40%4/10
70%7/10
BTTS
90%9/10
Matchup

Ajax attack

2.20goals per match
For Sittard conceded1.70
Matchup

For Sittard attack

1.50goals per match
Ajax conceded1.10
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.90
1H goals scored
0.40
0.40
1H goals conceded
0.70
70%7/10
Over 0.5 1H
70%7/10
40%4/10
Leading at HT
10%1/10
1.30
2H goals scored
1.10
0.70
2H goals conceded
1.00
90%9/10
Over 0.5 2H
100%10/10
50%5/10
More goals in 2H
60%6/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
8.60N=10
Corners for
4.70N=10
2.50
Corners against
5.40
11.10
Match total
10.10
70%7/10
Over 8.5
80%8/10
70%7/10
Over 9.5
50%5/10
90%9/10
Team over 4.5
40%4/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.10N=10
For
1.70N=10
3.20
Match total
3.40
50%5/10
Over 3.5
50%5/10

Fouls

9.60N=10
Committed
8.00N=10
22.70
Match total
17.50

Shots

20.80N=10
Shots
11.20N=10
8.10
On target
4.00
11%
Conversion
13%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches35
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home84.5%91.4%+6.9 pp
Draw10.1%5.7%-4.4 pp
Away5.4%2.9%-2.6 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.597.1%
Over 2.580.0%
Over 3.551.4%
BTTS51.4%

Historical average

3.200.74

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

2-014.3%
3-014.3%
2-111.4%
3-111.4%
5-011.4%

Comparable corner averages

8.462.63
Average total11.09

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=35.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.574.3%
Over 9.568.6%
Over 10.560.0%
Over 11.545.7%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches10
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT100.0%72.2%–100.0% CI
Draw FT0.0%0.0%–27.8% CI
Away FT0.0%0.0%–27.8% CI

Remaining goals

3.00

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal100.0%
2+ goals90.0%
3+ goals60.0%

Who scores in 2H

Home100.0%
Away40.0%