Eredivisie · 2022/23
2023-04-08 · 19:00
11.0887.9%
X11.068.6%
226.843.5%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Quick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
PSV Eindhoven
WWWLDWWWWW
8W 1D 1L · 2.50 PPM
Excelsior
LDLLLLLLLL
0W 1D 9L · 0.10 PPM
Goals
3.00
Scored
0.40
0.80
Conceded
2.90
60%
Over 2.5
50%
40%
BTTS
40%
By half
1.50
1H goals
1.50
2.30
2H goals
1.80
80%
Goal in 2H
80%
Corners
7.40N=10
For
2.90N=10
3.10
Against
6.10
10.50
Total
9.00
Signals
Key historical patterns
very strongAt least one second-half goal
8/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.
moderateOver 8.5 corners
7/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.
Team history
Goals
N=10 N=10
3.00
Goals scored
0.40
0.80
Goals conceded
2.90
3.80
Total goals
3.30
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
PSV Eindhoven attack
3.00goals per matchExcelsior conceded2.90Matchup
Excelsior attack
0.40goals per matchPSV Eindhoven conceded0.80Timing
First & second half
N=10 N=10
1.00
1H goals scored
0.10
0.50
1H goals conceded
1.40
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
2.00
2H goals scored
0.30
0.30
2H goals conceded
1.50
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=10 N=10
7.40N=10
Corners for
2.90N=10
3.10
Corners against
6.10
10.50
Match total
9.00
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
0.70N=10
For
2.00N=10
2.30
Match total
3.10
Over 3.5
Fouls
8.50N=10
Committed
11.30N=10
18.00
Match total
21.00
Shots
18.60N=10
Shots
7.50N=10
7.80
On target
2.40
16%
Conversion
5%
Market history
Similar historical matches
low · Tier A
Comparable matches23
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home87.9%91.3%+3.4 pp
Draw8.6%8.7%+0.1 pp
Away3.5%0.0%-3.5 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.595.7%
Over 2.582.6%
Over 3.569.6%
BTTS34.8%
Historical average
4.09–0.57
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
5-017.4%
4-013.0%
2-08.7%
3-08.7%
5-28.7%
Comparable corner averages
8.52–2.09
Average total10.61
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=23.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.578.3%
Over 9.565.2%
Over 10.543.5%
Over 11.530.4%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches10
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT90.0%59.6%–98.2% CI
Draw FT0.0%0.0%–27.8% CI
Away FT10.0%1.8%–40.4% CI
Remaining goals
3.00
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal100.0%
2+ goals80.0%
3+ goals60.0%
Who scores in 2H
Home100.0%
Away40.0%