Eredivisie · 2022/23
2023-04-08 · 19:00
11.4863.9%
X4.3921.5%
26.5014.6%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

AZ Alkmaar
WLWDWDWWWD
6W 3D 1L · 2.10 PPM
Sparta Rotterdam
DLWDWDDLWW
4W 4D 2L · 1.60 PPM

Goals

2.30
Scored
1.70
1.40
Conceded
1.10
70%
Over 2.5
60%
80%
BTTS
40%

By half

2.40
1H goals
1.00
1.30
2H goals
1.80
70%
Goal in 2H
80%

Corners

5.40N=10
For
3.80N=10
3.40
Against
5.50
8.80
Total
9.30
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateOver 2.5 goals

7/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

strongAt least one second-half goal

7/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
2.30
Goals scored
1.70
1.40
Goals conceded
1.10
3.70
Total goals
2.80
90%9/10
Over 1.5
80%8/10
70%7/10
Over 2.5
60%6/10
40%4/10
Over 3.5
50%5/10
80%8/10
BTTS
40%4/10
Matchup

AZ Alkmaar attack

2.30goals per match
Sparta Rotterdam conceded1.10
Matchup

Sparta Rotterdam attack

1.70goals per match
AZ Alkmaar conceded1.40
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
1.70
1H goals scored
0.50
0.70
1H goals conceded
0.50
90%9/10
Over 0.5 1H
60%6/10
60%6/10
Leading at HT
20%2/10
0.60
2H goals scored
1.20
0.70
2H goals conceded
0.60
70%7/10
Over 0.5 2H
80%8/10
20%2/10
More goals in 2H
40%4/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
5.40N=10
Corners for
3.80N=10
3.40
Corners against
5.50
8.80
Match total
9.30
50%5/10
Over 8.5
50%5/10
50%5/10
Over 9.5
30%3/10
70%7/10
Team over 4.5
30%3/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.80N=10
For
1.00N=10
3.10
Match total
1.60
40%4/10
Over 3.5
10%1/10

Fouls

8.30N=10
Committed
11.00N=10
17.20
Match total
18.60

Shots

14.20N=10
Shots
12.40N=10
6.20
On target
4.80
16%
Conversion
14%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches161
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home63.9%70.8%+6.9 pp
Draw21.5%16.1%-5.4 pp
Away14.6%13.0%-1.5 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.573.9%
Over 2.551.6%
Over 3.528.6%
BTTS44.1%

Historical average

2.000.74

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-018.6%
2-111.2%
2-010.6%
1-18.7%
3-16.8%

Comparable corner averages

6.253.61
Average total9.87

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=161.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.560.9%
Over 9.547.8%
Over 10.541.6%
Over 11.530.4%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches39
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT61.5%45.9%–75.1% CI
Draw FT28.2%16.5%–43.8% CI
Away FT10.3%4.1%–23.6% CI

Remaining goals

1.26

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal82.1%
2+ goals33.3%
3+ goals10.3%

Who scores in 2H

Home71.8%
Away25.6%