Eredivisie · 2022/23
2023-04-08 · 19:00
11.4863.9%
X4.3921.5%
26.5014.6%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Quick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
AZ Alkmaar
WLWDWDWWWD
6W 3D 1L · 2.10 PPM
Sparta Rotterdam
DLWDWDDLWW
4W 4D 2L · 1.60 PPM
Goals
2.30
Scored
1.70
1.40
Conceded
1.10
70%
Over 2.5
60%
80%
BTTS
40%
By half
2.40
1H goals
1.00
1.30
2H goals
1.80
70%
Goal in 2H
80%
Corners
5.40N=10
For
3.80N=10
3.40
Against
5.50
8.80
Total
9.30
Signals
Key historical patterns
moderateOver 2.5 goals
7/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.
strongAt least one second-half goal
7/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.
Team history
Goals
N=10 N=10
2.30
Goals scored
1.70
1.40
Goals conceded
1.10
3.70
Total goals
2.80
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
AZ Alkmaar attack
2.30goals per matchSparta Rotterdam conceded1.10Matchup
Sparta Rotterdam attack
1.70goals per matchAZ Alkmaar conceded1.40Timing
First & second half
N=10 N=10
1.70
1H goals scored
0.50
0.70
1H goals conceded
0.50
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
0.60
2H goals scored
1.20
0.70
2H goals conceded
0.60
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=10 N=10
5.40N=10
Corners for
3.80N=10
3.40
Corners against
5.50
8.80
Match total
9.30
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
1.80N=10
For
1.00N=10
3.10
Match total
1.60
Over 3.5
Fouls
8.30N=10
Committed
11.00N=10
17.20
Match total
18.60
Shots
14.20N=10
Shots
12.40N=10
6.20
On target
4.80
16%
Conversion
14%
Market history
Similar historical matches
low · Tier A
Comparable matches161
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home63.9%70.8%+6.9 pp
Draw21.5%16.1%-5.4 pp
Away14.6%13.0%-1.5 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.573.9%
Over 2.551.6%
Over 3.528.6%
BTTS44.1%
Historical average
2.00–0.74
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
1-018.6%
2-111.2%
2-010.6%
1-18.7%
3-16.8%
Comparable corner averages
6.25–3.61
Average total9.87
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=161.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.560.9%
Over 9.547.8%
Over 10.541.6%
Over 11.530.4%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches39
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT61.5%45.9%–75.1% CI
Draw FT28.2%16.5%–43.8% CI
Away FT10.3%4.1%–23.6% CI
Remaining goals
1.26
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal82.1%
2+ goals33.3%
3+ goals10.3%
Who scores in 2H
Home71.8%
Away25.6%