Eredivisie · 2022/23
2023-04-02 · 11:15
18.0511.7%
X5.2418.0%
21.3470.3%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Go Ahead Eagles
LWDDWDDLWW
4W 4D 2L · 1.60 PPM
Ajax
LWWDDDWWWW
6W 3D 1L · 2.10 PPM

Goals

1.70
Scored
2.90
1.40
Conceded
1.40
50%
Over 2.5
80%
60%
BTTS
90%

By half

1.60
1H goals
2.40
1.50
2H goals
1.90
70%
Goal in 2H
90%

Corners

4.60N=10
For
5.90N=10
6.30
Against
4.40
10.90
Total
10.30
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateBoth teams scored

6/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.

strongAt least one second-half goal

7/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.

moderateOver 8.5 corners

6/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.70
Goals scored
2.90
1.40
Goals conceded
1.40
3.10
Total goals
4.30
80%8/10
Over 1.5
100%10/10
50%5/10
Over 2.5
80%8/10
50%5/10
Over 3.5
60%6/10
60%6/10
BTTS
90%9/10
Matchup

Go Ahead Eagles attack

1.70goals per match
Ajax conceded1.40
Matchup

Ajax attack

2.90goals per match
Go Ahead Eagles conceded1.40
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
1.10
1H goals scored
1.60
0.50
1H goals conceded
0.80
80%8/10
Over 0.5 1H
100%10/10
50%5/10
Leading at HT
60%6/10
0.60
2H goals scored
1.30
0.90
2H goals conceded
0.60
70%7/10
Over 0.5 2H
90%9/10
20%2/10
More goals in 2H
30%3/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
4.60N=10
Corners for
5.90N=10
6.30
Corners against
4.40
10.90
Match total
10.30
60%6/10
Over 8.5
80%8/10
50%5/10
Over 9.5
60%6/10
50%5/10
Team over 4.5
80%8/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.10N=10
For
2.10N=10
3.00
Match total
4.20
40%4/10
Over 3.5
70%7/10

Fouls

10.10N=10
Committed
10.00N=10
21.60
Match total
21.60

Shots

13.20N=10
Shots
15.50N=10
4.30
On target
6.20
13%
Conversion
19%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches70
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home11.7%10.0%-1.7 pp
Draw18.0%18.6%+0.6 pp
Away70.3%71.4%+1.1 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.584.3%
Over 2.558.6%
Over 3.540.0%
BTTS48.6%

Historical average

0.842.43

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

0-214.3%
0-311.4%
1-110.0%
1-27.1%
1-47.1%

Comparable corner averages

3.097.04
Average total10.13

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=70.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.562.9%
Over 9.554.3%
Over 10.541.4%
Over 11.532.9%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches14
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT7.1%1.3%–31.5% CI
Draw FT42.9%21.4%–67.4% CI
Away FT50.0%26.8%–73.2% CI

Remaining goals

1.36

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal71.4%
2+ goals57.1%
3+ goals7.1%

Who scores in 2H

Home21.4%
Away64.3%