Eredivisie · 2022/23
2023-04-01 · 20:00
12.5237.5%
X3.4227.7%
22.7234.8%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Quick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
Waalwijk
WDLWDWWWLL
5W 2D 3L · 1.70 PPM
Vitesse
LWDDDLWDLL
2W 4D 4L · 1.00 PPM
Goals
2.00
Scored
1.40
1.40
Conceded
1.70
70%
Over 2.5
70%
70%
BTTS
60%
By half
1.60
1H goals
1.60
1.80
2H goals
1.50
70%
Goal in 2H
100%
Corners
5.10N=10
For
5.60N=10
4.60
Against
5.40
9.70
Total
11.00
Signals
Key historical patterns
strongOver 2.5 goals
7/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.
moderateBoth teams scored
7/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.
strongAt least one second-half goal
7/10 home-side sample · 10/10 away-side sample.
strongOver 8.5 corners
7/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.
Team history
Goals
N=10 N=10
2.00
Goals scored
1.40
1.40
Goals conceded
1.70
3.40
Total goals
3.10
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
Waalwijk attack
2.00goals per matchVitesse conceded1.70Matchup
Vitesse attack
1.40goals per matchWaalwijk conceded1.40Timing
First & second half
N=10 N=10
0.70
1H goals scored
0.70
0.90
1H goals conceded
0.90
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
1.30
2H goals scored
0.70
0.50
2H goals conceded
0.80
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=10 N=10
5.10N=10
Corners for
5.60N=10
4.60
Corners against
5.40
9.70
Match total
11.00
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
2.10N=10
For
1.60N=10
4.00
Match total
2.40
Over 3.5
Fouls
10.20N=10
Committed
9.80N=10
18.80
Match total
19.90
Shots
13.80N=10
Shots
14.60N=10
5.50
On target
4.80
14%
Conversion
10%
Market history
Similar historical matches
medium · Tier A
Comparable matches339
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home37.5%37.2%-0.4 pp
Draw27.7%26.8%-0.8 pp
Away34.8%36.0%+1.2 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.578.8%
Over 2.551.0%
Over 3.525.7%
BTTS55.8%
Historical average
1.33–1.35
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
1-113.6%
2-19.7%
1-08.6%
1-28.3%
0-18.3%
Comparable corner averages
5.27–4.76
Average total10.04
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=339.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.563.4%
Over 9.550.1%
Over 10.539.5%
Over 11.529.5%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches87
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT34.5%25.3%–44.9% CI
Draw FT33.3%24.3%–43.8% CI
Away FT32.2%23.3%–42.6% CI
Remaining goals
1.55
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal82.8%
2+ goals46.0%
3+ goals17.2%
Who scores in 2H
Home57.5%
Away54.0%