Eredivisie · 2022/23
2023-04-01 · 15:30
11.5063.2%
X4.3821.6%
26.2315.2%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Quick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
AZ Alkmaar
DWLWDWDWWW
6W 3D 1L · 2.10 PPM
Heerenveen
DDWWDLLWDW
4W 4D 2L · 1.60 PPM
Goals
2.30
Scored
1.20
1.40
Conceded
0.90
70%
Over 2.5
30%
80%
BTTS
40%
By half
2.30
1H goals
0.80
1.40
2H goals
1.30
70%
Goal in 2H
70%
Corners
5.10N=10
For
4.50N=10
3.70
Against
4.60
8.80
Total
9.10
Signals
Key historical patterns
strongAt least one second-half goal
7/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.
Team history
Goals
N=10 N=10
2.30
Goals scored
1.20
1.40
Goals conceded
0.90
3.70
Total goals
2.10
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
AZ Alkmaar attack
2.30goals per matchHeerenveen conceded0.90Matchup
Heerenveen attack
1.20goals per matchAZ Alkmaar conceded1.40Timing
First & second half
N=10 N=10
1.70
1H goals scored
0.50
0.60
1H goals conceded
0.30
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
0.60
2H goals scored
0.70
0.80
2H goals conceded
0.60
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=10 N=10
5.10N=10
Corners for
4.50N=10
3.70
Corners against
4.60
8.80
Match total
9.10
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
1.40N=10
For
1.30N=10
2.70
Match total
2.40
Over 3.5
Fouls
8.30N=10
Committed
10.40N=10
16.90
Match total
19.10
Shots
13.30N=10
Shots
12.60N=10
5.80
On target
4.40
17%
Conversion
10%
Market history
Similar historical matches
low · Tier A
Comparable matches181
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home63.2%70.7%+7.6 pp
Draw21.6%19.9%-1.7 pp
Away15.2%9.4%-5.8 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.581.2%
Over 2.558.0%
Over 3.535.9%
BTTS48.6%
Historical average
2.26–0.76
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
1-012.2%
2-011.0%
1-110.5%
3-09.9%
2-18.8%
Comparable corner averages
6.49–3.55
Average total10.04
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=181.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.566.9%
Over 9.550.8%
Over 10.539.2%
Over 11.530.9%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches47
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT55.3%41.2%–68.6% CI
Draw FT31.9%20.4%–46.2% CI
Away FT12.8%6.0%–25.2% CI
Remaining goals
1.62
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal85.1%
2+ goals48.9%
3+ goals21.3%
Who scores in 2H
Home74.5%
Away38.3%