Eredivisie · 2022/23
2023-04-01 · 15:30
11.5063.2%
X4.3821.6%
26.2315.2%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

AZ Alkmaar
DWLWDWDWWW
6W 3D 1L · 2.10 PPM
Heerenveen
DDWWDLLWDW
4W 4D 2L · 1.60 PPM

Goals

2.30
Scored
1.20
1.40
Conceded
0.90
70%
Over 2.5
30%
80%
BTTS
40%

By half

2.30
1H goals
0.80
1.40
2H goals
1.30
70%
Goal in 2H
70%

Corners

5.10N=10
For
4.50N=10
3.70
Against
4.60
8.80
Total
9.10
Signals

Key historical patterns

strongAt least one second-half goal

7/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
2.30
Goals scored
1.20
1.40
Goals conceded
0.90
3.70
Total goals
2.10
90%9/10
Over 1.5
60%6/10
70%7/10
Over 2.5
30%3/10
40%4/10
Over 3.5
20%2/10
80%8/10
BTTS
40%4/10
Matchup

AZ Alkmaar attack

2.30goals per match
Heerenveen conceded0.90
Matchup

Heerenveen attack

1.20goals per match
AZ Alkmaar conceded1.40
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
1.70
1H goals scored
0.50
0.60
1H goals conceded
0.30
80%8/10
Over 0.5 1H
40%4/10
60%6/10
Leading at HT
10%1/10
0.60
2H goals scored
0.70
0.80
2H goals conceded
0.60
70%7/10
Over 0.5 2H
70%7/10
30%3/10
More goals in 2H
50%5/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
5.10N=10
Corners for
4.50N=10
3.70
Corners against
4.60
8.80
Match total
9.10
50%5/10
Over 8.5
50%5/10
50%5/10
Over 9.5
40%4/10
70%7/10
Team over 4.5
50%5/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.40N=10
For
1.30N=10
2.70
Match total
2.40
30%3/10
Over 3.5
10%1/10

Fouls

8.30N=10
Committed
10.40N=10
16.90
Match total
19.10

Shots

13.30N=10
Shots
12.60N=10
5.80
On target
4.40
17%
Conversion
10%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches181
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home63.2%70.7%+7.6 pp
Draw21.6%19.9%-1.7 pp
Away15.2%9.4%-5.8 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.581.2%
Over 2.558.0%
Over 3.535.9%
BTTS48.6%

Historical average

2.260.76

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-012.2%
2-011.0%
1-110.5%
3-09.9%
2-18.8%

Comparable corner averages

6.493.55
Average total10.04

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=181.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.566.9%
Over 9.550.8%
Over 10.539.2%
Over 11.530.9%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches47
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT55.3%41.2%–68.6% CI
Draw FT31.9%20.4%–46.2% CI
Away FT12.8%6.0%–25.2% CI

Remaining goals

1.62

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal85.1%
2+ goals48.9%
3+ goals21.3%

Who scores in 2H

Home74.5%
Away38.3%