Eredivisie · 2022/23
2023-03-19 · 13:30
11.7454.3%
X4.0523.3%
24.2222.4%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Ajax
WDWLDDDWWW
5W 4D 1L · 1.90 PPM
Feyenoord
WLDWWDWDWW
6W 3D 1L · 2.10 PPM

Goals

2.50
Scored
2.40
0.80
Conceded
1.40
60%
Over 2.5
60%
60%
BTTS
80%

By half

1.20
1H goals
2.30
2.10
2H goals
1.50
90%
Goal in 2H
80%

Corners

9.50N=10
For
6.60N=10
2.40
Against
5.10
11.90
Total
11.70
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateOver 2.5 goals

6/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

moderateBoth teams scored

6/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

very strongAt least one second-half goal

9/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

strongOver 8.5 corners

7/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
2.50
Goals scored
2.40
0.80
Goals conceded
1.40
3.30
Total goals
3.80
80%8/10
Over 1.5
100%10/10
60%6/10
Over 2.5
60%6/10
50%5/10
Over 3.5
40%4/10
60%6/10
BTTS
80%8/10
Matchup

Ajax attack

2.50goals per match
Feyenoord conceded1.40
Matchup

Feyenoord attack

2.40goals per match
Ajax conceded0.80
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.90
1H goals scored
1.60
0.30
1H goals conceded
0.70
70%7/10
Over 0.5 1H
100%10/10
40%4/10
Leading at HT
50%5/10
1.60
2H goals scored
0.80
0.50
2H goals conceded
0.70
90%9/10
Over 0.5 2H
80%8/10
60%6/10
More goals in 2H
0%0/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
9.50N=10
Corners for
6.60N=10
2.40
Corners against
5.10
11.90
Match total
11.70
70%7/10
Over 8.5
70%7/10
70%7/10
Over 9.5
70%7/10
90%9/10
Team over 4.5
70%7/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

0.90N=10
For
1.40N=10
2.70
Match total
2.70
40%4/10
Over 3.5
30%3/10

Fouls

8.40N=10
Committed
8.80N=10
20.50
Match total
18.40

Shots

21.60N=10
Shots
17.70N=10
8.30
On target
7.20
12%
Conversion
14%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches119
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home54.3%52.9%-1.3 pp
Draw23.3%26.1%+2.7 pp
Away22.4%21.0%-1.4 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.585.7%
Over 2.563.9%
Over 3.545.4%
BTTS64.7%

Historical average

1.991.29

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-114.3%
2-110.1%
3-17.6%
2-06.7%
2-26.7%

Comparable corner averages

5.874.17
Average total10.04

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=119.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.565.5%
Over 9.551.3%
Over 10.538.7%
Over 11.527.7%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches24
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT37.5%21.2%–57.3% CI
Draw FT45.8%27.9%–64.9% CI
Away FT16.7%6.7%–35.9% CI

Remaining goals

1.75

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal83.3%
2+ goals54.2%
3+ goals25.0%

Who scores in 2H

Home66.7%
Away62.5%