Eredivisie · 2022/23
2023-03-19 · 11:15
12.7734.2%
X3.3028.7%
22.5537.1%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Groningen
LLLWLLLDDW
2W 2D 6L · 0.80 PPM
Heerenveen
LDDWWDLLWD
3W 4D 3L · 1.30 PPM

Goals

1.40
Scored
1.00
1.90
Conceded
1.40
60%
Over 2.5
40%
60%
BTTS
40%

By half

1.60
1H goals
0.80
1.70
2H goals
1.60
90%
Goal in 2H
80%

Corners

4.60N=10
For
4.60N=10
5.80
Against
5.80
10.40
Total
10.40
Signals

Key historical patterns

very strongAt least one second-half goal

9/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

moderateOver 8.5 corners

8/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.40
Goals scored
1.00
1.90
Goals conceded
1.40
3.30
Total goals
2.40
80%8/10
Over 1.5
60%6/10
60%6/10
Over 2.5
40%4/10
40%4/10
Over 3.5
30%3/10
60%6/10
BTTS
40%4/10
Matchup

Groningen attack

1.40goals per match
Heerenveen conceded1.40
Matchup

Heerenveen attack

1.00goals per match
Groningen conceded1.90
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.80
1H goals scored
0.30
0.80
1H goals conceded
0.50
80%8/10
Over 0.5 1H
40%4/10
30%3/10
Leading at HT
0%0/10
0.60
2H goals scored
0.70
1.10
2H goals conceded
0.90
90%9/10
Over 0.5 2H
80%8/10
50%5/10
More goals in 2H
60%6/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
4.60N=10
Corners for
4.60N=10
5.80
Corners against
5.80
10.40
Match total
10.40
80%8/10
Over 8.5
60%6/10
70%7/10
Over 9.5
50%5/10
40%4/10
Team over 4.5
50%5/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.00N=10
For
1.40N=10
2.30
Match total
2.60
20%2/10
Over 3.5
10%1/10

Fouls

8.70N=10
Committed
9.50N=10
18.10
Match total
17.40

Shots

14.00N=10
Shots
11.80N=10
4.20
On target
4.00
10%
Conversion
8%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

high · Tier A
Comparable matches511
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home34.2%31.3%-2.9 pp
Draw28.7%27.8%-0.9 pp
Away37.1%40.9%+3.8 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.570.6%
Over 2.545.4%
Over 3.524.5%
BTTS51.5%

Historical average

1.171.34

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-113.5%
0-112.3%
1-08.6%
0-08.4%
2-17.8%

Comparable corner averages

5.055.02
Average total10.06

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=511.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.564.8%
Over 9.552.4%
Over 10.542.7%
Over 11.532.7%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches168
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitymoderate
Home FT24.4%18.5%–31.4% CI
Draw FT39.3%32.2%–46.8% CI
Away FT36.3%29.4%–43.8% CI

Remaining goals

1.33

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal74.4%
2+ goals39.3%
3+ goals11.9%

Who scores in 2H

Home41.7%
Away54.8%