Eredivisie · 2022/23
2023-03-18 · 20:00
12.4738.4%
X3.4127.8%
22.8033.8%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Quick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
Waalwijk
WWDLWDWWWL
6W 2D 2L · 2.00 PPM
Nijmegen
DDLLWDLLWL
2W 3D 5L · 0.90 PPM
Goals
2.40
Scored
0.40
1.30
Conceded
0.90
70%
Over 2.5
20%
70%
BTTS
0%
By half
1.60
1H goals
0.80
2.10
2H goals
0.50
70%
Goal in 2H
30%
Corners
5.70N=10
For
4.10N=10
4.50
Against
6.40
10.20
Total
10.50
Signals
Key historical patterns
strongOver 8.5 corners
8/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.
Team history
Goals
N=10 N=10
2.40
Goals scored
0.40
1.30
Goals conceded
0.90
3.70
Total goals
1.30
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
Waalwijk attack
2.40goals per matchNijmegen conceded0.90Matchup
Nijmegen attack
0.40goals per matchWaalwijk conceded1.30Timing
First & second half
N=10 N=10
0.80
1H goals scored
0.20
0.80
1H goals conceded
0.60
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
1.60
2H goals scored
0.20
0.50
2H goals conceded
0.30
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=10 N=10
5.70N=10
Corners for
4.10N=10
4.50
Corners against
6.40
10.20
Match total
10.50
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
2.00N=10
For
2.20N=10
3.90
Match total
3.50
Over 3.5
Fouls
10.20N=10
Committed
10.80N=10
18.50
Match total
22.30
Shots
14.50N=10
Shots
11.70N=10
6.00
On target
3.80
17%
Conversion
3%
Market history
Similar historical matches
low · Tier A
Comparable matches287
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home38.4%39.4%+1.0 pp
Draw27.8%25.1%-2.7 pp
Away33.8%35.5%+1.7 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.578.0%
Over 2.550.5%
Over 3.524.7%
BTTS54.0%
Historical average
1.33–1.30
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
1-112.9%
2-110.1%
1-09.1%
0-18.7%
1-28.0%
Comparable corner averages
5.40–4.51
Average total9.92
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=287.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.563.4%
Over 9.550.5%
Over 10.538.7%
Over 11.528.2%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches77
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT36.4%26.5%–47.5% CI
Draw FT31.2%21.9%–42.2% CI
Away FT32.5%23.1%–43.5% CI
Remaining goals
1.60
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal84.4%
2+ goals48.1%
3+ goals18.2%
Who scores in 2H
Home58.4%
Away54.5%