Eredivisie · 2022/23
2023-03-12 · 13:30
16.8613.8%
X4.8619.5%
21.4266.7%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Heerenveen
DWLLWLWLLL
3W 1D 6L · 1.00 PPM
Ajax
WLWWDDDWWW
6W 3D 1L · 2.10 PPM

Goals

1.10
Scored
2.70
1.70
Conceded
1.20
70%
Over 2.5
70%
70%
BTTS
80%

By half

1.60
1H goals
2.20
1.20
2H goals
1.70
80%
Goal in 2H
80%

Corners

4.90N=10
For
5.50N=10
4.60
Against
4.20
9.50
Total
9.70
Signals

Key historical patterns

strongOver 2.5 goals

7/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

strongBoth teams scored

7/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

very strongAt least one second-half goal

8/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

moderateOver 8.5 corners

6/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.10
Goals scored
2.70
1.70
Goals conceded
1.20
2.80
Total goals
3.90
80%8/10
Over 1.5
100%10/10
70%7/10
Over 2.5
70%7/10
30%3/10
Over 3.5
50%5/10
70%7/10
BTTS
80%8/10
Matchup

Heerenveen attack

1.10goals per match
Ajax conceded1.20
Matchup

Ajax attack

2.70goals per match
Heerenveen conceded1.70
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.70
1H goals scored
1.50
0.90
1H goals conceded
0.70
80%8/10
Over 0.5 1H
100%10/10
20%2/10
Leading at HT
60%6/10
0.40
2H goals scored
1.20
0.80
2H goals conceded
0.50
80%8/10
Over 0.5 2H
80%8/10
20%2/10
More goals in 2H
30%3/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
4.90N=10
Corners for
5.50N=10
4.60
Corners against
4.20
9.50
Match total
9.70
60%6/10
Over 8.5
70%7/10
40%4/10
Over 9.5
50%5/10
60%6/10
Team over 4.5
70%7/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.50N=10
For
2.20N=10
3.30
Match total
4.30
40%4/10
Over 3.5
70%7/10

Fouls

8.90N=10
Committed
9.90N=10
20.30
Match total
21.10

Shots

15.40N=10
Shots
15.20N=10
4.60
On target
6.00
7%
Conversion
18%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches74
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home13.8%14.9%+1.1 pp
Draw19.5%20.3%+0.8 pp
Away66.7%64.9%-1.8 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.582.4%
Over 2.563.5%
Over 3.539.2%
BTTS52.7%

Historical average

0.892.15

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

0-312.2%
0-19.5%
1-39.5%
1-19.5%
0-28.1%

Comparable corner averages

3.586.19
Average total9.77

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=74.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.563.5%
Over 9.552.7%
Over 10.543.2%
Over 11.528.4%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches17
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT5.9%1.0%–27.0% CI
Draw FT35.3%17.3%–58.7% CI
Away FT58.8%36.0%–78.4% CI

Remaining goals

1.65

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal82.4%
2+ goals58.8%
3+ goals17.6%

Who scores in 2H

Home23.5%
Away76.5%