Eredivisie · 2022/23
2023-03-12 · 13:30
16.8613.8%
X4.8619.5%
21.4266.7%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Quick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
Heerenveen
DWLLWLWLLL
3W 1D 6L · 1.00 PPM
Ajax
WLWWDDDWWW
6W 3D 1L · 2.10 PPM
Goals
1.10
Scored
2.70
1.70
Conceded
1.20
70%
Over 2.5
70%
70%
BTTS
80%
By half
1.60
1H goals
2.20
1.20
2H goals
1.70
80%
Goal in 2H
80%
Corners
4.90N=10
For
5.50N=10
4.60
Against
4.20
9.50
Total
9.70
Signals
Key historical patterns
strongOver 2.5 goals
7/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.
strongBoth teams scored
7/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.
very strongAt least one second-half goal
8/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.
moderateOver 8.5 corners
6/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.
Team history
Goals
N=10 N=10
1.10
Goals scored
2.70
1.70
Goals conceded
1.20
2.80
Total goals
3.90
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
Heerenveen attack
1.10goals per matchAjax conceded1.20Matchup
Ajax attack
2.70goals per matchHeerenveen conceded1.70Timing
First & second half
N=10 N=10
0.70
1H goals scored
1.50
0.90
1H goals conceded
0.70
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
0.40
2H goals scored
1.20
0.80
2H goals conceded
0.50
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=10 N=10
4.90N=10
Corners for
5.50N=10
4.60
Corners against
4.20
9.50
Match total
9.70
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
1.50N=10
For
2.20N=10
3.30
Match total
4.30
Over 3.5
Fouls
8.90N=10
Committed
9.90N=10
20.30
Match total
21.10
Shots
15.40N=10
Shots
15.20N=10
4.60
On target
6.00
7%
Conversion
18%
Market history
Similar historical matches
low · Tier A
Comparable matches74
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home13.8%14.9%+1.1 pp
Draw19.5%20.3%+0.8 pp
Away66.7%64.9%-1.8 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.582.4%
Over 2.563.5%
Over 3.539.2%
BTTS52.7%
Historical average
0.89–2.15
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
0-312.2%
0-19.5%
1-39.5%
1-19.5%
0-28.1%
Comparable corner averages
3.58–6.19
Average total9.77
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=74.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.563.5%
Over 9.552.7%
Over 10.543.2%
Over 11.528.4%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches17
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT5.9%1.0%–27.0% CI
Draw FT35.3%17.3%–58.7% CI
Away FT58.8%36.0%–78.4% CI
Remaining goals
1.65
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal82.4%
2+ goals58.8%
3+ goals17.6%
Who scores in 2H
Home23.5%
Away76.5%