Eredivisie · 2022/23
2023-03-12 · 11:15
12.4738.3%
X3.3128.6%
22.8633.1%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Quick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
Nijmegen
DDDDWDWDDW
3W 7D 0L · 1.60 PPM
Utrecht
WWLWWDLDLW
5W 2D 3L · 1.70 PPM
Goals
2.00
Scored
2.20
1.00
Conceded
2.10
40%
Over 2.5
70%
80%
BTTS
50%
By half
1.10
1H goals
1.80
1.90
2H goals
2.50
80%
Goal in 2H
90%
Corners
7.60N=10
For
6.00N=10
4.60
Against
4.20
12.20
Total
10.20
Signals
Key historical patterns
very strongAt least one second-half goal
8/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.
moderateOver 8.5 corners
8/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.
Team history
Goals
N=10 N=10
2.00
Goals scored
2.20
1.00
Goals conceded
2.10
3.00
Total goals
4.30
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
Nijmegen attack
2.00goals per matchUtrecht conceded2.10Matchup
Utrecht attack
2.20goals per matchNijmegen conceded1.00Timing
First & second half
N=10 N=10
0.50
1H goals scored
0.90
0.60
1H goals conceded
0.90
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
1.50
2H goals scored
1.30
0.40
2H goals conceded
1.20
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=10 N=10
7.60N=10
Corners for
6.00N=10
4.60
Corners against
4.20
12.20
Match total
10.20
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
1.10N=10
For
1.70N=10
4.20
Match total
3.10
Over 3.5
Fouls
9.90N=10
Committed
8.70N=10
26.50
Match total
17.70
Shots
18.00N=10
Shots
13.90N=10
5.40
On target
5.50
11%
Conversion
16%
Market history
Similar historical matches
medium · Tier A
Comparable matches353
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home38.3%38.0%-0.4 pp
Draw28.6%25.8%-2.8 pp
Away33.1%36.3%+3.2 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.575.1%
Over 2.548.2%
Over 3.522.7%
BTTS54.4%
Historical average
1.30–1.24
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
1-115.0%
1-211.6%
1-011.0%
0-19.1%
2-17.9%
Comparable corner averages
5.23–4.50
Average total9.73
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=353.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.564.3%
Over 9.551.0%
Over 10.538.2%
Over 11.528.9%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches100
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT36.0%27.3%–45.8% CI
Draw FT33.0%24.6%–42.7% CI
Away FT31.0%22.8%–40.6% CI
Remaining goals
1.56
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal83.0%
2+ goals47.0%
3+ goals17.0%
Who scores in 2H
Home59.0%
Away55.0%