Eredivisie · 2022/23
2023-03-11 · 19:00
11.3271.7%
X5.2418.1%
29.2310.3%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Quick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
AZ Alkmaar
DDWLWDWDWW
5W 4D 1L · 1.90 PPM
Groningen
WLLDLLLLLL
1W 1D 8L · 0.40 PPM
Goals
2.30
Scored
0.60
1.50
Conceded
2.10
70%
Over 2.5
60%
90%
BTTS
40%
By half
2.20
1H goals
0.50
1.60
2H goals
2.20
80%
Goal in 2H
90%
Corners
5.40N=10
For
3.50N=10
3.80
Against
8.30
9.20
Total
11.80
Signals
Key historical patterns
moderateOver 2.5 goals
7/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.
very strongAt least one second-half goal
8/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.
moderateOver 8.5 corners
6/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.
Team history
Goals
N=10 N=10
2.30
Goals scored
0.60
1.50
Goals conceded
2.10
3.80
Total goals
2.70
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
AZ Alkmaar attack
2.30goals per matchGroningen conceded2.10Matchup
Groningen attack
0.60goals per matchAZ Alkmaar conceded1.50Timing
First & second half
N=10 N=10
1.60
1H goals scored
0.20
0.60
1H goals conceded
0.30
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
0.70
2H goals scored
0.40
0.90
2H goals conceded
1.80
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=10 N=10
5.40N=10
Corners for
3.50N=10
3.80
Corners against
8.30
9.20
Match total
11.80
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
1.50N=10
For
2.10N=10
2.80
Match total
3.10
Over 3.5
Fouls
8.30N=10
Committed
10.10N=10
17.10
Match total
18.20
Shots
15.30N=10
Shots
8.10N=10
6.80
On target
2.00
15%
Conversion
7%
Market history
Similar historical matches
low · Tier A
Comparable matches148
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home71.7%75.0%+3.3 pp
Draw18.1%15.5%-2.5 pp
Away10.3%9.5%-0.8 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.572.3%
Over 2.552.7%
Over 3.530.4%
BTTS42.6%
Historical average
2.20–0.66
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
1-017.6%
2-112.8%
2-012.2%
1-16.8%
0-06.8%
Comparable corner averages
7.15–3.32
Average total10.47
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=148.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.569.6%
Over 9.558.1%
Over 10.548.0%
Over 11.536.5%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches46
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT65.2%50.8%–77.3% CI
Draw FT30.4%19.1%–44.8% CI
Away FT4.3%1.2%–14.5% CI
Remaining goals
1.30
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal78.3%
2+ goals37.0%
3+ goals8.7%
Who scores in 2H
Home73.9%
Away19.6%