Eredivisie · 2022/23
2023-03-11 · 19:00
11.3271.7%
X5.2418.1%
29.2310.3%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

AZ Alkmaar
DDWLWDWDWW
5W 4D 1L · 1.90 PPM
Groningen
WLLDLLLLLL
1W 1D 8L · 0.40 PPM

Goals

2.30
Scored
0.60
1.50
Conceded
2.10
70%
Over 2.5
60%
90%
BTTS
40%

By half

2.20
1H goals
0.50
1.60
2H goals
2.20
80%
Goal in 2H
90%

Corners

5.40N=10
For
3.50N=10
3.80
Against
8.30
9.20
Total
11.80
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateOver 2.5 goals

7/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

very strongAt least one second-half goal

8/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.

moderateOver 8.5 corners

6/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
2.30
Goals scored
0.60
1.50
Goals conceded
2.10
3.80
Total goals
2.70
100%10/10
Over 1.5
60%6/10
70%7/10
Over 2.5
60%6/10
40%4/10
Over 3.5
30%3/10
90%9/10
BTTS
40%4/10
Matchup

AZ Alkmaar attack

2.30goals per match
Groningen conceded2.10
Matchup

Groningen attack

0.60goals per match
AZ Alkmaar conceded1.50
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
1.60
1H goals scored
0.20
0.60
1H goals conceded
0.30
70%7/10
Over 0.5 1H
40%4/10
50%5/10
Leading at HT
10%1/10
0.70
2H goals scored
0.40
0.90
2H goals conceded
1.80
80%8/10
Over 0.5 2H
90%9/10
40%4/10
More goals in 2H
80%8/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
5.40N=10
Corners for
3.50N=10
3.80
Corners against
8.30
9.20
Match total
11.80
60%6/10
Over 8.5
80%8/10
60%6/10
Over 9.5
80%8/10
70%7/10
Team over 4.5
40%4/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.50N=10
For
2.10N=10
2.80
Match total
3.10
30%3/10
Over 3.5
40%4/10

Fouls

8.30N=10
Committed
10.10N=10
17.10
Match total
18.20

Shots

15.30N=10
Shots
8.10N=10
6.80
On target
2.00
15%
Conversion
7%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches148
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home71.7%75.0%+3.3 pp
Draw18.1%15.5%-2.5 pp
Away10.3%9.5%-0.8 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.572.3%
Over 2.552.7%
Over 3.530.4%
BTTS42.6%

Historical average

2.200.66

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-017.6%
2-112.8%
2-012.2%
1-16.8%
0-06.8%

Comparable corner averages

7.153.32
Average total10.47

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=148.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.569.6%
Over 9.558.1%
Over 10.548.0%
Over 11.536.5%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches46
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT65.2%50.8%–77.3% CI
Draw FT30.4%19.1%–44.8% CI
Away FT4.3%1.2%–14.5% CI

Remaining goals

1.30

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal78.3%
2+ goals37.0%
3+ goals8.7%

Who scores in 2H

Home73.9%
Away19.6%