Eredivisie · 2022/23
2023-03-05 · 15:45
11.2377.0%
X6.5014.6%
211.248.4%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Ajax
WWDWLDDDWW
5W 4D 1L · 1.90 PPM
Nijmegen
DDDLLWDLLW
2W 4D 4L · 1.00 PPM

Goals

2.80
Scored
0.50
0.80
Conceded
0.90
70%
Over 2.5
20%
60%
BTTS
10%

By half

1.40
1H goals
0.80
2.20
2H goals
0.60
90%
Goal in 2H
30%

Corners

9.40N=10
For
4.20N=10
2.30
Against
6.20
11.70
Total
10.40
Signals

Key historical patterns

strongOver 8.5 corners

7/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
2.80
Goals scored
0.50
0.80
Goals conceded
0.90
3.60
Total goals
1.40
90%9/10
Over 1.5
50%5/10
70%7/10
Over 2.5
20%2/10
60%6/10
Over 3.5
0%0/10
60%6/10
BTTS
10%1/10
Matchup

Ajax attack

2.80goals per match
Nijmegen conceded0.90
Matchup

Nijmegen attack

0.50goals per match
Ajax conceded0.80
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
1.10
1H goals scored
0.20
0.30
1H goals conceded
0.60
80%8/10
Over 0.5 1H
60%6/10
50%5/10
Leading at HT
20%2/10
1.70
2H goals scored
0.30
0.50
2H goals conceded
0.30
90%9/10
Over 0.5 2H
30%3/10
50%5/10
More goals in 2H
30%3/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
9.40N=10
Corners for
4.20N=10
2.30
Corners against
6.20
11.70
Match total
10.40
70%7/10
Over 8.5
70%7/10
70%7/10
Over 9.5
60%6/10
90%9/10
Team over 4.5
40%4/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

0.90N=10
For
2.00N=10
2.60
Match total
3.30
30%3/10
Over 3.5
50%5/10

Fouls

7.40N=10
Committed
10.10N=10
18.50
Match total
20.60

Shots

21.90N=10
Shots
11.60N=10
8.40
On target
3.80
13%
Conversion
4%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches34
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home77.0%88.2%+11.2 pp
Draw14.6%5.9%-8.7 pp
Away8.4%5.9%-2.5 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.585.3%
Over 2.576.5%
Over 3.547.1%
BTTS52.9%

Historical average

2.940.79

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

2-117.6%
1-011.8%
3-011.8%
4-08.8%
5-08.8%

Comparable corner averages

7.003.35
Average total10.35

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=34.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.573.5%
Over 9.552.9%
Over 10.541.2%
Over 11.532.4%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches19
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT78.9%56.7%–91.5% CI
Draw FT15.8%5.5%–37.6% CI
Away FT5.3%0.9%–24.6% CI

Remaining goals

2.47

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal100.0%
2+ goals63.2%
3+ goals52.6%

Who scores in 2H

Home94.7%
Away42.1%