Eredivisie · 2022/23
2023-03-05 · 11:15
13.3228.5%
X3.4927.2%
22.1444.3%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Excelsior
LWLWLWWLDL
4W 1D 5L · 1.30 PPM
Sparta Rotterdam
WLDLWDWDDL
3W 4D 3L · 1.30 PPM

Goals

0.90
Scored
1.20
1.70
Conceded
1.30
50%
Over 2.5
60%
40%
BTTS
30%

By half

1.20
1H goals
1.00
1.40
2H goals
1.50
80%
Goal in 2H
70%

Corners

6.20N=10
For
3.60N=10
5.70
Against
6.40
11.90
Total
10.00
Signals

Key historical patterns

strongAt least one second-half goal

8/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

moderateOver 8.5 corners

10/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
0.90
Goals scored
1.20
1.70
Goals conceded
1.30
2.60
Total goals
2.50
60%6/10
Over 1.5
70%7/10
50%5/10
Over 2.5
60%6/10
20%2/10
Over 3.5
40%4/10
40%4/10
BTTS
30%3/10
Matchup

Excelsior attack

0.90goals per match
Sparta Rotterdam conceded1.30
Matchup

Sparta Rotterdam attack

1.20goals per match
Excelsior conceded1.70
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.40
1H goals scored
0.40
0.80
1H goals conceded
0.60
70%7/10
Over 0.5 1H
60%6/10
20%2/10
Leading at HT
20%2/10
0.50
2H goals scored
0.80
0.90
2H goals conceded
0.70
80%8/10
Over 0.5 2H
70%7/10
50%5/10
More goals in 2H
30%3/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
6.20N=10
Corners for
3.60N=10
5.70
Corners against
6.40
11.90
Match total
10.00
100%10/10
Over 8.5
60%6/10
90%9/10
Over 9.5
50%5/10
70%7/10
Team over 4.5
30%3/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.30N=10
For
0.90N=10
2.80
Match total
1.60
20%2/10
Over 3.5
10%1/10

Fouls

8.90N=10
Committed
10.20N=10
17.30
Match total
18.90

Shots

12.30N=10
Shots
12.00N=10
3.20
On target
4.20
7%
Conversion
10%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

medium · Tier A
Comparable matches327
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home28.5%25.4%-3.2 pp
Draw27.2%26.9%-0.2 pp
Away44.3%47.7%+3.4 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.572.8%
Over 2.548.9%
Over 3.525.4%
BTTS53.5%

Historical average

1.081.49

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-112.5%
1-211.9%
0-110.7%
0-08.9%
0-28.0%

Comparable corner averages

4.644.98
Average total9.62

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=327.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.561.5%
Over 9.550.5%
Over 10.537.6%
Over 11.528.1%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches102
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT16.7%10.7%–25.1% CI
Draw FT45.1%35.8%–54.8% CI
Away FT38.2%29.4%–47.9% CI

Remaining goals

1.45

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal71.6%
2+ goals47.1%
3+ goals19.6%

Who scores in 2H

Home38.2%
Away61.8%