Eredivisie · 2022/23
2023-03-03 · 19:00
13.1330.2%
X3.4227.7%
22.2542.1%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Vitesse
LDDLWLDDWL
2W 4D 4L · 1.00 PPM
AZ Alkmaar
WWWLLWWWDL
6W 1D 3L · 1.90 PPM

Goals

1.10
Scored
2.00
1.80
Conceded
1.10
70%
Over 2.5
70%
60%
BTTS
70%

By half

1.20
1H goals
1.60
1.70
2H goals
1.50
90%
Goal in 2H
80%

Corners

6.80N=10
For
4.40N=10
4.30
Against
4.20
11.10
Total
8.60
Signals

Key historical patterns

strongOver 2.5 goals

7/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

moderateBoth teams scored

6/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

very strongAt least one second-half goal

9/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.10
Goals scored
2.00
1.80
Goals conceded
1.10
2.90
Total goals
3.10
90%9/10
Over 1.5
90%9/10
70%7/10
Over 2.5
70%7/10
40%4/10
Over 3.5
30%3/10
60%6/10
BTTS
70%7/10
Matchup

Vitesse attack

1.10goals per match
AZ Alkmaar conceded1.10
Matchup

AZ Alkmaar attack

2.00goals per match
Vitesse conceded1.80
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.50
1H goals scored
1.10
0.70
1H goals conceded
0.50
70%7/10
Over 0.5 1H
90%9/10
10%1/10
Leading at HT
60%6/10
0.60
2H goals scored
0.90
1.10
2H goals conceded
0.60
90%9/10
Over 0.5 2H
80%8/10
30%3/10
More goals in 2H
30%3/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
6.80N=10
Corners for
4.40N=10
4.30
Corners against
4.20
11.10
Match total
8.60
70%7/10
Over 8.5
40%4/10
70%7/10
Over 9.5
40%4/10
70%7/10
Team over 4.5
60%6/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.50N=10
For
1.90N=10
3.00
Match total
3.10
30%3/10
Over 3.5
30%3/10

Fouls

12.20N=10
Committed
11.80N=10
22.70
Match total
21.20

Shots

15.00N=10
Shots
12.50N=10
5.10
On target
5.50
7%
Conversion
16%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

medium · Tier A
Comparable matches359
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home30.2%26.5%-3.8 pp
Draw27.7%28.7%+1.0 pp
Away42.1%44.8%+2.8 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.580.8%
Over 2.551.3%
Over 3.530.6%
BTTS58.2%

Historical average

1.211.62

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-116.2%
1-210.0%
0-29.5%
0-17.0%
0-06.7%

Comparable corner averages

4.635.30
Average total9.93

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=359.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.566.3%
Over 9.555.7%
Over 10.541.8%
Over 11.530.1%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches90
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT17.8%11.2%–26.9% CI
Draw FT43.3%33.6%–53.6% CI
Away FT38.9%29.5%–49.2% CI

Remaining goals

1.43

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal73.3%
2+ goals48.9%
3+ goals17.8%

Who scores in 2H

Home40.0%
Away62.2%