Eredivisie · 2022/23
2023-02-26 · 13:30
15.6716.7%
X4.6220.5%
21.5162.8%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Vitesse
LLDDLWLDDW
2W 4D 4L · 1.00 PPM
Ajax
WWLWWDDDWW
6W 3D 1L · 2.10 PPM

Goals

1.20
Scored
2.60
2.10
Conceded
1.10
70%
Over 2.5
60%
60%
BTTS
70%

By half

1.30
1H goals
2.10
2.00
2H goals
1.60
90%
Goal in 2H
70%

Corners

6.70N=10
For
5.80N=10
4.50
Against
3.80
11.20
Total
9.60
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateOver 2.5 goals

7/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

moderateBoth teams scored

6/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

strongAt least one second-half goal

9/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

strongOver 8.5 corners

7/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.20
Goals scored
2.60
2.10
Goals conceded
1.10
3.30
Total goals
3.70
90%9/10
Over 1.5
90%9/10
70%7/10
Over 2.5
60%6/10
50%5/10
Over 3.5
50%5/10
60%6/10
BTTS
70%7/10
Matchup

Vitesse attack

1.20goals per match
Ajax conceded1.10
Matchup

Ajax attack

2.60goals per match
Vitesse conceded2.10
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.50
1H goals scored
1.50
0.80
1H goals conceded
0.60
70%7/10
Over 0.5 1H
100%10/10
10%1/10
Leading at HT
70%7/10
0.70
2H goals scored
1.10
1.30
2H goals conceded
0.50
90%9/10
Over 0.5 2H
70%7/10
40%4/10
More goals in 2H
30%3/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
6.70N=10
Corners for
5.80N=10
4.50
Corners against
3.80
11.20
Match total
9.60
70%7/10
Over 8.5
70%7/10
70%7/10
Over 9.5
40%4/10
70%7/10
Team over 4.5
80%8/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.70N=10
For
2.10N=10
3.10
Match total
4.30
30%3/10
Over 3.5
70%7/10

Fouls

11.80N=10
Committed
9.60N=10
22.30
Match total
20.50

Shots

14.90N=10
Shots
15.60N=10
4.90
On target
6.00
8%
Conversion
17%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches47
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home16.7%14.9%-1.8 pp
Draw20.5%8.5%-12.0 pp
Away62.8%76.6%+13.8 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.576.6%
Over 2.557.4%
Over 3.540.4%
BTTS42.6%

Historical average

0.742.36

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

0-117.0%
1-212.8%
0-210.6%
1-38.5%
0-46.4%

Comparable corner averages

3.346.09
Average total9.43

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=47.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.563.8%
Over 9.540.4%
Over 10.529.8%
Over 11.523.4%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches11
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT18.2%5.1%–47.7% CI
Draw FT9.1%1.6%–37.7% CI
Away FT72.7%43.4%–90.3% CI

Remaining goals

1.36

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal90.9%
2+ goals36.4%
3+ goals9.1%

Who scores in 2H

Home27.3%
Away72.7%