Eredivisie · 2022/23
2023-02-25 · 17:45
11.9548.5%
X3.6625.8%
23.6925.6%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Quick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
Heerenveen
WDWLLWLWLL
4W 1D 5L · 1.30 PPM
Waalwijk
DLWDLLLDDL
1W 4D 5L · 0.70 PPM
Goals
1.20
Scored
0.80
1.40
Conceded
1.90
70%
Over 2.5
60%
70%
BTTS
50%
By half
1.70
1H goals
0.80
0.90
2H goals
1.90
80%
Goal in 2H
70%
Corners
5.20N=10
For
3.70N=10
5.20
Against
8.20
10.40
Total
11.90
Signals
Key historical patterns
moderateOver 2.5 goals
7/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.
strongAt least one second-half goal
8/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.
strongOver 8.5 corners
7/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.
Team history
Goals
N=10 N=10
1.20
Goals scored
0.80
1.40
Goals conceded
1.90
2.60
Total goals
2.70
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
Heerenveen attack
1.20goals per matchWaalwijk conceded1.90Matchup
Waalwijk attack
0.80goals per matchHeerenveen conceded1.40Timing
First & second half
N=10 N=10
0.80
1H goals scored
0.40
0.90
1H goals conceded
0.40
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
0.40
2H goals scored
0.40
0.50
2H goals conceded
1.50
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=10 N=10
5.20N=10
Corners for
3.70N=10
5.20
Corners against
8.20
10.40
Match total
11.90
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
1.40N=10
For
1.80N=10
3.10
Match total
2.90
Over 3.5
Fouls
8.90N=10
Committed
10.30N=10
19.80
Match total
18.70
Shots
15.10N=10
Shots
10.10N=10
4.70
On target
3.50
8%
Conversion
8%
Market history
Similar historical matches
medium · Tier A
Comparable matches369
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home48.5%45.3%-3.3 pp
Draw25.8%29.0%+3.1 pp
Away25.6%25.7%+0.1 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.577.8%
Over 2.554.7%
Over 3.533.1%
BTTS56.9%
Historical average
1.64–1.18
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
1-113.0%
2-19.8%
1-07.9%
2-27.6%
0-07.3%
Comparable corner averages
5.79–4.33
Average total10.12
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=369.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.569.1%
Over 9.555.6%
Over 10.544.2%
Over 11.531.7%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches103
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT32.0%23.8%–41.6% CI
Draw FT41.7%32.7%–51.4% CI
Away FT26.2%18.7%–35.5% CI
Remaining goals
1.39
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal73.8%
2+ goals39.8%
3+ goals17.5%
Who scores in 2H
Home52.4%
Away49.5%