Eredivisie · 2022/23
2023-02-25 · 17:45
11.9548.5%
X3.6625.8%
23.6925.6%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Heerenveen
WDWLLWLWLL
4W 1D 5L · 1.30 PPM
Waalwijk
DLWDLLLDDL
1W 4D 5L · 0.70 PPM

Goals

1.20
Scored
0.80
1.40
Conceded
1.90
70%
Over 2.5
60%
70%
BTTS
50%

By half

1.70
1H goals
0.80
0.90
2H goals
1.90
80%
Goal in 2H
70%

Corners

5.20N=10
For
3.70N=10
5.20
Against
8.20
10.40
Total
11.90
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateOver 2.5 goals

7/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

strongAt least one second-half goal

8/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

strongOver 8.5 corners

7/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.20
Goals scored
0.80
1.40
Goals conceded
1.90
2.60
Total goals
2.70
80%8/10
Over 1.5
60%6/10
70%7/10
Over 2.5
60%6/10
20%2/10
Over 3.5
40%4/10
70%7/10
BTTS
50%5/10
Matchup

Heerenveen attack

1.20goals per match
Waalwijk conceded1.90
Matchup

Waalwijk attack

0.80goals per match
Heerenveen conceded1.40
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.80
1H goals scored
0.40
0.90
1H goals conceded
0.40
80%8/10
Over 0.5 1H
50%5/10
20%2/10
Leading at HT
20%2/10
0.40
2H goals scored
0.40
0.50
2H goals conceded
1.50
80%8/10
Over 0.5 2H
70%7/10
10%1/10
More goals in 2H
60%6/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
5.20N=10
Corners for
3.70N=10
5.20
Corners against
8.20
10.40
Match total
11.90
70%7/10
Over 8.5
90%9/10
50%5/10
Over 9.5
90%9/10
60%6/10
Team over 4.5
20%2/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.40N=10
For
1.80N=10
3.10
Match total
2.90
30%3/10
Over 3.5
30%3/10

Fouls

8.90N=10
Committed
10.30N=10
19.80
Match total
18.70

Shots

15.10N=10
Shots
10.10N=10
4.70
On target
3.50
8%
Conversion
8%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

medium · Tier A
Comparable matches369
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home48.5%45.3%-3.3 pp
Draw25.8%29.0%+3.1 pp
Away25.6%25.7%+0.1 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.577.8%
Over 2.554.7%
Over 3.533.1%
BTTS56.9%

Historical average

1.641.18

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-113.0%
2-19.8%
1-07.9%
2-27.6%
0-07.3%

Comparable corner averages

5.794.33
Average total10.12

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=369.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.569.1%
Over 9.555.6%
Over 10.544.2%
Over 11.531.7%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches103
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT32.0%23.8%–41.6% CI
Draw FT41.7%32.7%–51.4% CI
Away FT26.2%18.7%–35.5% CI

Remaining goals

1.39

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal73.8%
2+ goals39.8%
3+ goals17.5%

Who scores in 2H

Home52.4%
Away49.5%