Eredivisie · 2022/23
2023-02-25 · 15:30
11.8750.7%
X3.8124.9%
23.8924.4%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Groningen
WLLLWLLLDD
2W 2D 6L · 0.80 PPM
Excelsior
LLLDLLLLLL
0W 1D 9L · 0.10 PPM

Goals

1.20
Scored
0.60
1.90
Conceded
3.30
50%
Over 2.5
60%
60%
BTTS
50%

By half

1.60
1H goals
1.90
1.50
2H goals
2.00
80%
Goal in 2H
80%

Corners

4.80N=10
For
2.90N=10
6.10
Against
6.50
10.90
Total
9.40
Signals

Key historical patterns

very strongAt least one second-half goal

8/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

strongOver 8.5 corners

9/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.20
Goals scored
0.60
1.90
Goals conceded
3.30
3.10
Total goals
3.90
70%7/10
Over 1.5
70%7/10
50%5/10
Over 2.5
60%6/10
40%4/10
Over 3.5
60%6/10
60%6/10
BTTS
50%5/10
Matchup

Groningen attack

1.20goals per match
Excelsior conceded3.30
Matchup

Excelsior attack

0.60goals per match
Groningen conceded1.90
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.80
1H goals scored
0.30
0.80
1H goals conceded
1.60
80%8/10
Over 0.5 1H
70%7/10
30%3/10
Leading at HT
10%1/10
0.40
2H goals scored
0.30
1.10
2H goals conceded
1.70
80%8/10
Over 0.5 2H
80%8/10
40%4/10
More goals in 2H
50%5/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
4.80N=10
Corners for
2.90N=10
6.10
Corners against
6.50
10.90
Match total
9.40
90%9/10
Over 8.5
70%7/10
70%7/10
Over 9.5
50%5/10
50%5/10
Team over 4.5
10%1/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.20N=10
For
1.80N=10
2.70
Match total
2.90
30%3/10
Over 3.5
40%4/10

Fouls

8.50N=10
Committed
10.20N=10
18.30
Match total
19.70

Shots

13.20N=10
Shots
7.90N=10
3.60
On target
2.60
9%
Conversion
8%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches242
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home50.7%48.8%-2.0 pp
Draw24.9%27.7%+2.8 pp
Away24.4%23.6%-0.8 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.580.2%
Over 2.554.5%
Over 3.533.1%
BTTS58.3%

Historical average

1.711.19

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-114.5%
2-19.1%
2-07.4%
1-07.4%
0-06.6%

Comparable corner averages

6.004.34
Average total10.34

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=242.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.567.8%
Over 9.557.0%
Over 10.545.0%
Over 11.536.8%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches65
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT36.9%26.2%–49.1% CI
Draw FT44.6%33.2%–56.7% CI
Away FT18.5%10.9%–29.6% CI

Remaining goals

1.38

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal75.4%
2+ goals44.6%
3+ goals13.8%

Who scores in 2H

Home60.0%
Away44.6%