Eredivisie · 2022/23
2023-02-19 · 19:00
13.1230.4%
X3.5726.5%
22.2043.1%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Excelsior
WLWLWLWWLD
5W 1D 4L · 1.60 PPM
Nijmegen
WDDDLLWDLL
2W 4D 4L · 1.00 PPM

Goals

1.20
Scored
0.60
1.50
Conceded
1.00
50%
Over 2.5
20%
50%
BTTS
20%

By half

1.40
1H goals
1.00
1.30
2H goals
0.60
80%
Goal in 2H
30%

Corners

5.50N=10
For
4.60N=10
6.30
Against
6.00
11.80
Total
10.60
Signals

Key historical patterns

strongOver 8.5 corners

10/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.20
Goals scored
0.60
1.50
Goals conceded
1.00
2.70
Total goals
1.60
60%6/10
Over 1.5
50%5/10
50%5/10
Over 2.5
20%2/10
30%3/10
Over 3.5
10%1/10
50%5/10
BTTS
20%2/10
Matchup

Excelsior attack

1.20goals per match
Nijmegen conceded1.00
Matchup

Nijmegen attack

0.60goals per match
Excelsior conceded1.50
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.60
1H goals scored
0.30
0.80
1H goals conceded
0.70
70%7/10
Over 0.5 1H
60%6/10
30%3/10
Leading at HT
20%2/10
0.60
2H goals scored
0.30
0.70
2H goals conceded
0.30
80%8/10
Over 0.5 2H
30%3/10
40%4/10
More goals in 2H
20%2/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
5.50N=10
Corners for
4.60N=10
6.30
Corners against
6.00
11.80
Match total
10.60
100%10/10
Over 8.5
70%7/10
80%8/10
Over 9.5
60%6/10
60%6/10
Team over 4.5
50%5/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.00N=10
For
1.80N=10
2.30
Match total
3.00
10%1/10
Over 3.5
40%4/10

Fouls

9.00N=10
Committed
10.80N=10
18.60
Match total
21.90

Shots

12.40N=10
Shots
11.20N=10
3.40
On target
4.00
10%
Conversion
5%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches228
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home30.4%31.6%+1.2 pp
Draw26.5%26.3%-0.2 pp
Away43.1%42.1%-1.0 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.577.2%
Over 2.557.5%
Over 3.537.7%
BTTS59.2%

Historical average

1.351.61

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-19.6%
0-18.3%
2-28.3%
1-27.5%
1-07.5%

Comparable corner averages

4.714.95
Average total9.66

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=227.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.562.1%
Over 9.548.5%
Over 10.538.3%
Over 11.529.1%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches67
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT26.9%17.7%–38.5% CI
Draw FT34.3%24.1%–46.3% CI
Away FT38.8%28.0%–50.8% CI

Remaining goals

1.51

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal76.1%
2+ goals44.8%
3+ goals22.4%

Who scores in 2H

Home43.3%
Away58.2%