Eredivisie · 2021/22
2022-05-15 · 13:30
16.5814.4%
X5.0818.6%
21.4167.0%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Quick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
Vitesse
DWWLLWLWLL
4W 1D 5L · 1.30 PPM
Ajax
WWWWWLWWWD
8W 1D 1L · 2.50 PPM
Goals
1.10
Scored
1.90
1.50
Conceded
0.80
60%
Over 2.5
60%
50%
BTTS
50%
By half
1.10
1H goals
1.40
1.50
2H goals
1.30
70%
Goal in 2H
80%
Corners
5.20N=10
For
6.50N=10
3.30
Against
2.80
8.50
Total
9.30
Signals
Key historical patterns
moderateOver 2.5 goals
6/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.
strongAt least one second-half goal
7/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.
moderateOver 8.5 corners
6/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.
Team history
Goals
N=10 N=10
1.10
Goals scored
1.90
1.50
Goals conceded
0.80
2.60
Total goals
2.70
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
Vitesse attack
1.10goals per matchAjax conceded0.80Matchup
Ajax attack
1.90goals per matchVitesse conceded1.50Timing
First & second half
N=10 N=10
0.40
1H goals scored
1.10
0.70
1H goals conceded
0.30
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
0.70
2H goals scored
0.80
0.80
2H goals conceded
0.50
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=10 N=10
5.20N=10
Corners for
6.50N=10
3.30
Corners against
2.80
8.50
Match total
9.30
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
1.70N=10
For
1.00N=10
3.20
Match total
3.00
Over 3.5
Fouls
10.60N=10
Committed
10.00N=10
21.30
Match total
22.00
Shots
16.10N=10
Shots
16.80N=10
5.10
On target
5.40
7%
Conversion
11%
Market history
Similar historical matches
low · Tier A
Comparable matches18
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home14.4%5.6%-8.8 pp
Draw18.6%27.8%+9.2 pp
Away67.0%66.7%-0.4 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.583.3%
Over 2.544.4%
Over 3.527.8%
BTTS44.4%
Historical average
0.56–2.06
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
1-122.2%
0-216.7%
0-311.1%
1-311.1%
0-15.6%
Comparable corner averages
3.44–4.89
Average total8.33
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=18.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.550.0%
Over 9.538.9%
Over 10.533.3%
Over 11.522.2%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches14
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT14.3%4.0%–39.9% CI
Draw FT21.4%7.6%–47.6% CI
Away FT64.3%38.8%–83.7% CI
Remaining goals
2.00
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal92.9%
2+ goals50.0%
3+ goals28.6%
Who scores in 2H
Home50.0%
Away78.6%