Eredivisie · 2021/22
2022-05-11 · 19:00
11.1781.2%
X7.7812.2%
214.396.6%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Quick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
PSV Eindhoven
WWWLLWWWWW
8W 0D 2L · 2.40 PPM
Nijmegen
DLWWDWLLWL
4W 2D 4L · 1.40 PPM
Goals
2.70
Scored
1.30
0.90
Conceded
1.40
70%
Over 2.5
40%
60%
BTTS
60%
By half
2.00
1H goals
1.60
1.60
2H goals
1.10
90%
Goal in 2H
60%
Corners
6.80N=10
For
3.40N=10
3.60
Against
7.00
10.40
Total
10.40
Signals
Key historical patterns
moderateBoth teams scored
6/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.
moderateAt least one second-half goal
9/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.
strongOver 8.5 corners
8/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.
Team history
Goals
N=10 N=10
2.70
Goals scored
1.30
0.90
Goals conceded
1.40
3.60
Total goals
2.70
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
PSV Eindhoven attack
2.70goals per matchNijmegen conceded1.40Matchup
Nijmegen attack
1.30goals per matchPSV Eindhoven conceded0.90Timing
First & second half
N=10 N=10
1.50
1H goals scored
1.10
0.50
1H goals conceded
0.50
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
1.20
2H goals scored
0.20
0.40
2H goals conceded
0.90
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=10 N=10
6.80N=10
Corners for
3.40N=10
3.60
Corners against
7.00
10.40
Match total
10.40
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
1.10N=10
For
1.40N=10
2.40
Match total
3.10
Over 3.5
Fouls
9.00N=10
Committed
9.80N=10
18.40
Match total
20.90
Shots
15.70N=10
Shots
10.50N=10
7.30
On target
4.20
17%
Conversion
12%
Market history
Similar historical matches
low · Tier A
Comparable matches22
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home81.2%72.7%-8.5 pp
Draw12.2%18.2%+6.0 pp
Away6.6%9.1%+2.5 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.586.4%
Over 2.554.5%
Over 3.540.9%
BTTS36.4%
Historical average
2.45–0.59
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
2-022.7%
4-013.6%
3-09.1%
1-19.1%
4-19.1%
Comparable corner averages
7.23–2.36
Average total9.59
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=22.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.554.5%
Over 9.550.0%
Over 10.540.9%
Over 11.522.7%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches14
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT57.1%32.6%–78.6% CI
Draw FT35.7%16.3%–61.2% CI
Away FT7.1%1.3%–31.5% CI
Remaining goals
1.71
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal85.7%
2+ goals64.3%
3+ goals14.3%
Who scores in 2H
Home78.6%
Away28.6%