Eredivisie · 2021/22
2022-05-11 · 19:00
11.1483.2%
X8.7210.9%
215.955.9%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Ajax
DWLWWWWWWW
8W 1D 1L · 2.50 PPM
Heerenveen
WWLLLDDDLW
3W 3D 4L · 1.20 PPM

Goals

3.00
Scored
0.80
0.70
Conceded
1.20
90%
Over 2.5
40%
40%
BTTS
50%

By half

1.40
1H goals
0.80
2.30
2H goals
1.20
90%
Goal in 2H
80%

Corners

8.20N=10
For
4.50N=10
2.00
Against
5.80
10.20
Total
10.30
Signals

Key historical patterns

very strongAt least one second-half goal

9/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

strongOver 8.5 corners

7/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
3.00
Goals scored
0.80
0.70
Goals conceded
1.20
3.70
Total goals
2.00
90%9/10
Over 1.5
70%7/10
90%9/10
Over 2.5
40%4/10
50%5/10
Over 3.5
10%1/10
40%4/10
BTTS
50%5/10
Matchup

Ajax attack

3.00goals per match
Heerenveen conceded1.20
Matchup

Heerenveen attack

0.80goals per match
Ajax conceded0.70
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
1.10
1H goals scored
0.30
0.30
1H goals conceded
0.50
80%8/10
Over 0.5 1H
50%5/10
60%6/10
Leading at HT
0%0/10
1.90
2H goals scored
0.50
0.40
2H goals conceded
0.70
90%9/10
Over 0.5 2H
80%8/10
70%7/10
More goals in 2H
40%4/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
8.20N=10
Corners for
4.50N=10
2.00
Corners against
5.80
10.20
Match total
10.30
70%7/10
Over 8.5
70%7/10
60%6/10
Over 9.5
70%7/10
80%8/10
Team over 4.5
50%5/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.30N=10
For
0.80N=10
2.60
Match total
2.10
20%2/10
Over 3.5
20%2/10

Fouls

7.10N=10
Committed
9.60N=10
17.50
Match total
19.00

Shots

24.20N=10
Shots
12.40N=10
9.60
On target
3.60
12%
Conversion
6%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches22
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home83.2%86.4%+3.2 pp
Draw10.9%9.1%-1.8 pp
Away5.9%4.5%-1.4 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.5100.0%
Over 2.586.4%
Over 3.568.2%
BTTS50.0%

Historical average

3.591.05

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

5-013.6%
4-013.6%
3-09.1%
2-19.1%
3-39.1%

Comparable corner averages

8.771.91
Average total10.68

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=22.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.568.2%
Over 9.568.2%
Over 10.559.1%
Over 11.540.9%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches10
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT90.0%59.6%–98.2% CI
Draw FT0.0%0.0%–27.8% CI
Away FT10.0%1.8%–40.4% CI

Remaining goals

2.60

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal100.0%
2+ goals80.0%
3+ goals40.0%

Who scores in 2H

Home90.0%
Away40.0%