Eredivisie · 2021/22
2022-05-11 · 19:00
11.1483.2%
X8.7210.9%
215.955.9%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Quick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
Ajax
DWLWWWWWWW
8W 1D 1L · 2.50 PPM
Heerenveen
WWLLLDDDLW
3W 3D 4L · 1.20 PPM
Goals
3.00
Scored
0.80
0.70
Conceded
1.20
90%
Over 2.5
40%
40%
BTTS
50%
By half
1.40
1H goals
0.80
2.30
2H goals
1.20
90%
Goal in 2H
80%
Corners
8.20N=10
For
4.50N=10
2.00
Against
5.80
10.20
Total
10.30
Signals
Key historical patterns
very strongAt least one second-half goal
9/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.
strongOver 8.5 corners
7/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.
Team history
Goals
N=10 N=10
3.00
Goals scored
0.80
0.70
Goals conceded
1.20
3.70
Total goals
2.00
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
Ajax attack
3.00goals per matchHeerenveen conceded1.20Matchup
Heerenveen attack
0.80goals per matchAjax conceded0.70Timing
First & second half
N=10 N=10
1.10
1H goals scored
0.30
0.30
1H goals conceded
0.50
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
1.90
2H goals scored
0.50
0.40
2H goals conceded
0.70
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=10 N=10
8.20N=10
Corners for
4.50N=10
2.00
Corners against
5.80
10.20
Match total
10.30
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
1.30N=10
For
0.80N=10
2.60
Match total
2.10
Over 3.5
Fouls
7.10N=10
Committed
9.60N=10
17.50
Match total
19.00
Shots
24.20N=10
Shots
12.40N=10
9.60
On target
3.60
12%
Conversion
6%
Market history
Similar historical matches
low · Tier A
Comparable matches22
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home83.2%86.4%+3.2 pp
Draw10.9%9.1%-1.8 pp
Away5.9%4.5%-1.4 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.5100.0%
Over 2.586.4%
Over 3.568.2%
BTTS50.0%
Historical average
3.59–1.05
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
5-013.6%
4-013.6%
3-09.1%
2-19.1%
3-39.1%
Comparable corner averages
8.77–1.91
Average total10.68
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=22.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.568.2%
Over 9.568.2%
Over 10.559.1%
Over 11.540.9%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches10
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT90.0%59.6%–98.2% CI
Draw FT0.0%0.0%–27.8% CI
Away FT10.0%1.8%–40.4% CI
Remaining goals
2.60
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal100.0%
2+ goals80.0%
3+ goals40.0%
Who scores in 2H
Home90.0%
Away40.0%