Eredivisie · 2021/22
2022-05-08 · 13:30
14.3421.9%
X4.0823.3%
21.7354.9%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

AZ Alkmaar
WWWWDWWLWW
8W 1D 1L · 2.50 PPM
Ajax
WWWWWWLWWW
9W 0D 1L · 2.70 PPM

Goals

1.90
Scored
2.20
0.80
Conceded
0.60
70%
Over 2.5
60%
70%
BTTS
40%

By half

1.40
1H goals
1.50
1.30
2H goals
1.30
90%
Goal in 2H
80%

Corners

5.20N=10
For
6.40N=10
3.20
Against
3.30
8.40
Total
9.70
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateOver 2.5 goals

7/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

very strongAt least one second-half goal

9/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.90
Goals scored
2.20
0.80
Goals conceded
0.60
2.70
Total goals
2.80
70%7/10
Over 1.5
70%7/10
70%7/10
Over 2.5
60%6/10
30%3/10
Over 3.5
30%3/10
70%7/10
BTTS
40%4/10
Matchup

AZ Alkmaar attack

1.90goals per match
Ajax conceded0.60
Matchup

Ajax attack

2.20goals per match
AZ Alkmaar conceded0.80
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.90
1H goals scored
1.20
0.50
1H goals conceded
0.30
70%7/10
Over 0.5 1H
80%8/10
30%3/10
Leading at HT
70%7/10
1.00
2H goals scored
1.00
0.30
2H goals conceded
0.30
90%9/10
Over 0.5 2H
80%8/10
40%4/10
More goals in 2H
50%5/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
5.20N=10
Corners for
6.40N=10
3.20
Corners against
3.30
8.40
Match total
9.70
30%3/10
Over 8.5
70%7/10
30%3/10
Over 9.5
70%7/10
40%4/10
Team over 4.5
70%7/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.30N=10
For
0.90N=10
3.00
Match total
2.70
20%2/10
Over 3.5
30%3/10

Fouls

10.40N=10
Committed
10.00N=10
18.50
Match total
21.10

Shots

13.70N=10
Shots
17.70N=10
4.40
On target
6.00
14%
Conversion
12%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches110
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home21.9%24.5%+2.7 pp
Draw23.3%25.5%+2.2 pp
Away54.9%50.0%-4.9 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.582.7%
Over 2.558.2%
Over 3.534.5%
BTTS59.1%

Historical average

1.201.84

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-111.8%
1-210.0%
2-18.2%
0-27.3%
0-17.3%

Comparable corner averages

4.245.74
Average total9.97

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=110.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.560.0%
Over 9.550.9%
Over 10.541.8%
Over 11.532.7%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches26
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT26.9%13.7%–46.1% CI
Draw FT34.6%19.4%–53.8% CI
Away FT38.5%22.4%–57.5% CI

Remaining goals

1.58

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal76.9%
2+ goals50.0%
3+ goals23.1%

Who scores in 2H

Home50.0%
Away57.7%